County 35455, NM · Census Tract 35455005065 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$827K
Downside (P10)
$331K
-60% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$730K
-12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.20M
+45% by 2030
Base case: -12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -60% to +45%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 35455 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $827K | $826K | $749K | $722K | $730K |
| YoY Change | -0.1% | -9.3% | -3.6% | +1.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $409K | $366K | $343K | $331K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$535K to $1.05M
61.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$331K to $1.20M
119.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000727 | $834K | $794K | -4.8% |
| Tract 004820 | $813K | $701K | -13.8% |
| Tract 004943 | $813K | $652K | -19.8% |
| Tract 005366 | $811K | $709K | -12.5% |
| Tract 001247 | $810K | $763K | -5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004888 | $874K | $895K | +2.4% |
| Tract 001043 | $729K | $742K | +1.7% |
| Tract 000688 | $774K | $758K | -2.1% |
| Tract 005007 | $1.05M | $1.01M | -4.0% |
| Tract 000727 | $834K | $794K | -4.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005366 | $811K | $709K | $839K |
| Tract 000662 | $747K | $694K | $851K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources