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Cibola, NM · ZIP 87020 · Census Tract 35006974401 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$225K
Downside (P10)
$179K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$242K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$344K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $191K | $219K | $220K | $225K | $229K | $241K | $242K | $229K |
| YoY Change | +14.7% | +0.5% | +2.5% | +1.5% | +5.4% | +0.2% | -5.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $181K | $177K | $179K | $201K | ||||
| Upside (P90) | $286K | $321K | $344K | $257K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$181K to $286K
46.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$201K to $257K
24.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grants | $223K | $242K | +8.4% | |
| Laguna | $117K | $137K | +17.0% | |
| Grants area (Tract 974701) | $164K | $183K | +11.7% | |
| Grants area (Tract 974702) | $169K | $179K | +6.0% | |
| Grants (Tract 974201) | $125K | $129K | +2.6% | |
| Grants (Tract 974202) | $129K | $129K | +0.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grants | $223K | $242K | +8.4% | |
| Laguna | $117K | $137K | +17.0% | |
| Grants | $84K | $97K | +15.2% | |
| Grants area (Tract 974701) | $164K | $183K | +11.7% | |
| Grants area (Tract 941500) | $84K | $93K | +10.7% | |
| Grants area (Tract 974702) | $169K | $179K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grants | $223K | $242K | $165K | |
| Grants (Tract 974201) | $125K | $129K | $79K | |
| Zuni-Ramah Navajo | $87K | $92K | $73K | |
| Grants (Tract 974202) | $129K | $129K | $63K | |
| Grants (Tract 974402) | $84K | $97K | $41K | |
| Grants area | $84K | $93K | $41K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.