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Monmouth, NJ · ZIP 07716 · Census Tract 34025800200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$629K
Downside (P10)
$478K
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$660K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$876K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $366K | $366K | $377K | $384K | $410K | $467K | $515K | $589K | $615K | $628K | $629K | $633K | $649K | $660K |
| YoY Change | +0.1% | +2.8% | +2.0% | +6.8% | +13.9% | +10.2% | +14.4% | +4.4% | +2.1% | +0.1% | +0.7% | +2.5% | +1.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $534K | $484K | $478K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $751K | $805K | $876K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$534K to $751K
34.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$478K to $876K
60.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Highlands | $626K | $660K | +5.3% | |
| Marlboro | $624K | $711K | +13.8% | |
| Manalapan | $627K | $692K | +10.4% | |
| Middletown (Tract 800702) | $627K | $687K | +9.5% | |
| Middletown (Tract 801300) | $632K | $653K | +3.2% | |
| West Long Branch | $625K | $632K | +1.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Highlands | $626K | $660K | +5.3% | |
| Red Bank (Tract 803400) | $408K | $486K | +19.2% | |
| Red Bank (Tract 803601) | $681K | $811K | +19.1% | |
| Ocean | $743K | $877K | +18.2% | |
| Union Beach | $472K | $556K | +17.6% | |
| Oceanport | $765K | $896K | +17.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Highlands | $626K | $660K | $398K | |
| Howell | $383K | $398K | $202K | |
| Farmingdale | $435K | $477K | $199K | |
| Keansburg (Tract 801600) | $332K | $356K | $180K | |
| Keansburg (Tract 801700) | $296K | $316K | $178K | |
| Asbury Park | $222K | $244K | $100K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.