What is the home price forecast for National Park?

Homecastr forecasts National Park median home values at $226,992 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.7%.

How confident is the National Park forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $194,950 (downside) to $312,198 (upside), with a spread of 48% of median.

National Park Home Price Forecast

Gloucester, NJ · ZIP 08063 · Census Tract 34015500300 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$227K

Downside (P10)

$195K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$245K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$312K

+38% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +38%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Gloucester markets.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$160K	$154K	$151K	$149K	$150K	$146K	$159K	$181K	$207K	$220K	$227K	$228K	$243K	$245K
YoY Change		-4.1%	-1.6%	-1.6%	+0.7%	-2.7%	+9.3%	+13.7%	+14.6%	+5.8%	+3.4%	+0.5%	+6.7%	+0.5%
Downside (P10)												$187K	$187K	$195K
Upside (P90)												$278K	$306K	$312K

Forecast Uncertainty

Narrow rangeWide range

The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.

1-Year Spread

$187K to $278K

40.3% of median

5-Year Spread

$195K to $312K

47.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.7% · Spread: 48%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
National Park	$223K	$245K	+9.7%
Monroe	$227K	$263K	+15.5%
Clayton	$227K	$240K	+5.5%
Deptford	$229K	$237K	+3.4%
Pitman	$222K	$253K	+13.9%
Woodbury	$222K	$251K	+13.3%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
National Park	$223K	$245K	+9.7%
Woolwich	$473K	$589K	+24.4%
Swedesboro	$259K	$318K	+22.9%
Logan	$307K	$358K	+16.5%
Monroe	$472K	$549K	+16.2%
Woolwich	$469K	$543K	+15.6%

Lower Risk Alternatives

Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	Spread
National Park	$223K	$245K	$117K
Woodbury	$208K	$221K	$105K
Deptford	$229K	$237K	$106K
Westville	$198K	$214K	$110K
Pitman	$222K	$253K	$117K
Deptford	$277K	$312K	$118K

Location

National Park on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).