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Essex, NJ · ZIP 07112 · Census Tract 34013005000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$337K
Downside (P10)
$295K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$340K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$413K
+23% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +23%. The model forecasts this with 81% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $202K | $196K | $223K | $257K | $295K | $283K | $330K | $437K | $340K | $321K | $337K | $336K | $347K | $340K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$134,975 | -$140,975 | -$113,775 | -$79,875 | -$41,875 | -$54,175 | -$6,575 | +$100,325 | +$2,525 | -$15,775 | -$944 | +$10,389 | +$3,001 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.1% | -41.8% | -33.8% | -23.7% | -12.4% | -16.1% | -2.0% | +29.8% | +0.7% | -4.7% | -0.3% | +3.1% | +0.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $298K | $281K | $295K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $401K | $410K | $413K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$298K to $401K
30.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$295K to $413K
34.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newark | $327K | $340K | +4.1% | |
| Newark (Tract 009700) | $340K | $400K | +17.9% | |
| Irvington (Tract 012300) | $342K | $391K | +14.3% | |
| Irvington (Tract 012800) | $337K | $371K | +10.1% | |
| Newark (Tract 003500) | $335K | $365K | +8.9% | |
| Newark (Tract 005200) | $332K | $360K | +8.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newark | $327K | $340K | +4.1% | |
| East Orange (Tract 009900) | $501K | $597K | +19.1% | |
| Newark (Tract 002500) | $371K | $440K | +18.5% | |
| East Orange (Tract 010000) | $395K | $468K | +18.5% | |
| Newark (Tract 009700) | $340K | $400K | +17.9% | |
| Newark (Tract 008000) | $402K | $474K | +17.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newark | $327K | $340K | $118K | |
| Newark (Tract 002400) | $255K | $285K | $138K | |
| East Orange | $193K | $205K | $126K | |
| Newark (Tract 008900) | $248K | $271K | $104K | |
| Newark (Tract 002800) | $164K | $184K | $98K | |
| Irvington | $147K | $166K | $95K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Essex, NJ · ZIP 07112 · Census Tract 34013005000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$337K
Downside (P10)
$295K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$340K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$413K
+23% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +23%. The model forecasts this with 81% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $202K | $196K | $223K | $257K | $295K | $283K | $330K | $437K | $340K | $321K | $337K | $336K | $347K | $340K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$134,975 | -$140,975 | -$113,775 | -$79,875 | -$41,875 | -$54,175 | -$6,575 | +$100,325 | +$2,525 | -$15,775 | -$944 | +$10,389 | +$3,001 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.1% | -41.8% | -33.8% | -23.7% | -12.4% | -16.1% | -2.0% | +29.8% | +0.7% | -4.7% | -0.3% | +3.1% | +0.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $298K | $281K | $295K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $401K | $410K | $413K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$298K to $401K
30.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$295K to $413K
34.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newark | $327K | $340K | +4.1% | |
| Newark (Tract 009700) | $340K | $400K | +17.9% | |
| Irvington (Tract 012300) | $342K | $391K | +14.3% | |
| Irvington (Tract 012800) | $337K | $371K | +10.1% | |
| Newark (Tract 003500) | $335K | $365K | +8.9% | |
| Newark (Tract 005200) | $332K | $360K | +8.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newark | $327K | $340K | +4.1% | |
| East Orange (Tract 009900) | $501K | $597K | +19.1% | |
| Newark (Tract 002500) | $371K | $440K | +18.5% | |
| East Orange (Tract 010000) | $395K | $468K | +18.5% | |
| Newark (Tract 009700) | $340K | $400K | +17.9% | |
| Newark (Tract 008000) | $402K | $474K | +17.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newark | $327K | $340K | $118K | |
| Newark (Tract 002400) | $255K | $285K | $138K | |
| East Orange | $193K | $205K | $126K | |
| Newark (Tract 008900) | $248K | $271K | $104K | |
| Newark (Tract 002800) | $164K | $184K | $98K | |
| Irvington | $147K | $166K | $95K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
