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Cape May, NJ · ZIP 08204 · Census Tract 34009021806 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$454K
Downside (P10)
$361K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$466K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$662K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $237K | $234K | $236K | $226K | $251K | $247K | $262K | $294K | $349K | $437K | $454K | $465K | $490K | $466K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$217,508 | -$220,008 | -$218,308 | -$228,408 | -$203,308 | -$207,508 | -$192,008 | -$159,808 | -$104,708 | -$16,808 | +$11,195 | +$35,793 | +$12,058 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.9% | -48.5% | -48.1% | -50.3% | -44.8% | -45.7% | -42.3% | -35.2% | -23.1% | -3.7% | +2.5% | +7.9% | +2.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $377K | $359K | $361K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $544K | $603K | $662K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$377K to $544K
35.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$361K to $662K
64.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Cape May | $447K | $466K | +4.2% | |
| Wildwood | $489K | $537K | +9.9% | |
| Lower | $486K | $516K | +6.2% | |
| Upper (Tract 020301) | $424K | $444K | +4.7% | |
| North Wildwood | $465K | $476K | +2.6% | |
| Upper (Tract 020302) | $441K | $447K | +1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Cape May | $447K | $466K | +4.2% | |
| Ocean City (Tract 020203) | $968K | $1.16M | +20.3% | |
| Upper | $327K | $391K | +19.5% | |
| Ocean City (Tract 020206) | $752K | $881K | +17.2% | |
| West Cape May area | $757K | $874K | +15.4% | |
| Lower | $557K | $627K | +12.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Cape May | $447K | $466K | $301K | |
| Lower (Tract 021804) | $294K | $314K | $184K | |
| Villas | $337K | $369K | $183K | |
| Lower (Tract 021805) | $375K | $375K | $180K | |
| Middle | $265K | $287K | $155K | |
| Woodbine | $220K | $248K | $126K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Cape May, NJ · ZIP 08204 · Census Tract 34009021806 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$454K
Downside (P10)
$361K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$466K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$662K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $237K | $234K | $236K | $226K | $251K | $247K | $262K | $294K | $349K | $437K | $454K | $465K | $490K | $466K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$217,508 | -$220,008 | -$218,308 | -$228,408 | -$203,308 | -$207,508 | -$192,008 | -$159,808 | -$104,708 | -$16,808 | +$11,195 | +$35,793 | +$12,058 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.9% | -48.5% | -48.1% | -50.3% | -44.8% | -45.7% | -42.3% | -35.2% | -23.1% | -3.7% | +2.5% | +7.9% | +2.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $377K | $359K | $361K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $544K | $603K | $662K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$377K to $544K
35.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$361K to $662K
64.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Cape May | $447K | $466K | +4.2% | |
| Wildwood | $489K | $537K | +9.9% | |
| Lower | $486K | $516K | +6.2% | |
| Upper (Tract 020301) | $424K | $444K | +4.7% | |
| North Wildwood | $465K | $476K | +2.6% | |
| Upper (Tract 020302) | $441K | $447K | +1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Cape May | $447K | $466K | +4.2% | |
| Ocean City (Tract 020203) | $968K | $1.16M | +20.3% | |
| Upper | $327K | $391K | +19.5% | |
| Ocean City (Tract 020206) | $752K | $881K | +17.2% | |
| West Cape May area | $757K | $874K | +15.4% | |
| Lower | $557K | $627K | +12.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Cape May | $447K | $466K | $301K | |
| Lower (Tract 021804) | $294K | $314K | $184K | |
| Villas | $337K | $369K | $183K | |
| Lower (Tract 021805) | $375K | $375K | $180K | |
| Middle | $265K | $287K | $155K | |
| Woodbine | $220K | $248K | $126K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
