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Atlantic, NJ · ZIP 08203 · Census Tract 34001010104 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$512K
Downside (P10)
$397K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$578K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$769K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $339K | $321K | $347K | $364K | $325K | $352K | $369K | $388K | $476K | $487K | $512K | $539K | $550K | $578K |
| YoY Change | -5.3% | +8.1% | +5.0% | -10.8% | +8.2% | +5.0% | +5.1% | +22.8% | +2.1% | +5.3% | +5.2% | +2.0% | +5.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $426K | $404K | $397K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $629K | $743K | $769K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$426K to $629K
37.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$397K to $769K
64.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brigantine | $498K | $578K | +16.2% | |
| Linwood | $455K | $503K | +10.6% | |
| Brigantine (Tract 010105) | $496K | $534K | +7.5% | |
| Margate City | $514K | $539K | +4.9% | |
| Brigantine (Tract 010101) | $493K | $508K | +3.1% | |
| Ventnor City | $444K | $450K | +1.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brigantine | $498K | $578K | +16.2% | |
| Hamilton | $294K | $356K | +21.1% | |
| Linwood | $436K | $520K | +19.3% | |
| Mullica | $297K | $352K | +18.5% | |
| Northfield | $294K | $343K | +16.8% | |
| Atlantic City | $168K | $196K | +16.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brigantine | $498K | $578K | $372K | |
| Atlantic City (Tract 000500) | $168K | $196K | $106K | |
| Pleasantville | $189K | $206K | $103K | |
| Atlantic City (Tract 000300) | $165K | $181K | $98K | |
| Atlantic City (Tract 001200) | $133K | $147K | $68K | |
| Atlantic City (Tract 001100) | $96K | $109K | $60K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.