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Strafford, NH · ZIP 03878 · Census Tract 33017083001 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$342K
Downside (P10)
$271K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$344K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$454K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $190K | $184K | $179K | $183K | $197K | $224K | $242K | $300K | $320K | $335K | $342K | $345K | $353K | $344K |
| YoY Change | -2.9% | -3.0% | +2.5% | +7.5% | +13.9% | +8.2% | +23.8% | +6.5% | +4.9% | +1.9% | +0.8% | +2.3% | -2.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $298K | $278K | $271K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $399K | $435K | $454K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$298K to $399K
29.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$271K to $454K
53.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Somersworth | $339K | $344K | +1.3% | |
| Farmington | $374K | $440K | +17.6% | |
| Rochester (Tract 084600) | $337K | $374K | +11.0% | |
| Rochester (Tract 084500) | $349K | $378K | +8.5% | |
| New Durham | $332K | $355K | +6.7% | |
| Milton | $323K | $337K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Somersworth | $339K | $344K | +1.3% | |
| Dover (Tract 081500) | $407K | $501K | +23.3% | |
| Farmington | $374K | $440K | +17.6% | |
| Dover (Tract 081600) | $473K | $543K | +14.9% | |
| Dover (Tract 081200) | $448K | $514K | +14.8% | |
| Dover (Tract 081102) | $412K | $473K | +14.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Somersworth | $339K | $344K | $183K | |
| Farmington | $235K | $253K | $160K | |
| Somersworth | $304K | $325K | $146K | |
| Rochester (Tract 084202) | $277K | $298K | $145K | |
| Rochester (Tract 084400) | $284K | $304K | $136K | |
| Rochester (Tract 084201) | $214K | $220K | $131K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.