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Lancaster, NE · ZIP 68428 · Census Tract 31109010202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$424K
Downside (P10)
$368K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$442K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$578K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $249K | $244K | $256K | $286K | $307K | $318K | $341K | $373K | $412K | $421K | $424K | $433K | $444K | $442K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$175,145 | -$179,845 | -$167,345 | -$137,345 | -$116,845 | -$105,545 | -$83,145 | -$50,545 | -$11,945 | -$2,645 | +$9,840 | +$19,983 | +$18,166 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -41.3% | -42.5% | -39.5% | -32.4% | -27.6% | -24.9% | -19.6% | -11.9% | -2.8% | -0.6% | +2.3% | +4.7% | +4.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $388K | $385K | $368K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $483K | $537K | $578K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$388K to $483K
21.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$368K to $578K
47.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elk area | $428K | $442K | +3.2% | |
| Oak | $425K | $461K | +8.7% | |
| Lincoln area (Tract 003725) | $426K | $460K | +8.0% | |
| Lincoln area (Tract 003715) | $405K | $437K | +7.9% | |
| Lincoln (Tract 001900) | $398K | $409K | +2.6% | |
| Lincoln (Tract 003713) | $448K | $449K | +0.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elk area | $428K | $442K | +3.2% | |
| Lincoln (Tract 003104) | $149K | $185K | +23.8% | |
| Lincoln (Tract 003802) | $280K | $323K | +15.4% | |
| Lincoln (Tract 003704) | $265K | $305K | +15.3% | |
| Lincoln area | $460K | $530K | +15.2% | |
| Yankee Hill area | $253K | $289K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elk area | $428K | $442K | $210K | |
| Lincoln (Tract 002100) | $132K | $142K | $81K | |
| Lincoln (Tract 003002) | $175K | $185K | $79K | |
| Lincoln (Tract 000202) | $173K | $189K | $72K | |
| Lincoln (Tract 001800) | $119K | $133K | $71K | |
| Lincoln (Tract 002002) | $124K | $139K | $53K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Lancaster, NE · ZIP 68428 · Census Tract 31109010202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$424K
Downside (P10)
$368K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$442K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$578K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $249K | $244K | $256K | $286K | $307K | $318K | $341K | $373K | $412K | $421K | $424K | $433K | $444K | $442K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$175,145 | -$179,845 | -$167,345 | -$137,345 | -$116,845 | -$105,545 | -$83,145 | -$50,545 | -$11,945 | -$2,645 | +$9,840 | +$19,983 | +$18,166 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -41.3% | -42.5% | -39.5% | -32.4% | -27.6% | -24.9% | -19.6% | -11.9% | -2.8% | -0.6% | +2.3% | +4.7% | +4.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $388K | $385K | $368K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $483K | $537K | $578K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$388K to $483K
21.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$368K to $578K
47.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elk area | $428K | $442K | +3.2% | |
| Oak | $425K | $461K | +8.7% | |
| Lincoln area (Tract 003725) | $426K | $460K | +8.0% | |
| Lincoln area (Tract 003715) | $405K | $437K | +7.9% | |
| Lincoln (Tract 001900) | $398K | $409K | +2.6% | |
| Lincoln (Tract 003713) | $448K | $449K | +0.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elk area | $428K | $442K | +3.2% | |
| Lincoln (Tract 003104) | $149K | $185K | +23.8% | |
| Lincoln (Tract 003802) | $280K | $323K | +15.4% | |
| Lincoln (Tract 003704) | $265K | $305K | +15.3% | |
| Lincoln area | $460K | $530K | +15.2% | |
| Yankee Hill area | $253K | $289K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elk area | $428K | $442K | $210K | |
| Lincoln (Tract 002100) | $132K | $142K | $81K | |
| Lincoln (Tract 003002) | $175K | $185K | $79K | |
| Lincoln (Tract 000202) | $173K | $189K | $72K | |
| Lincoln (Tract 001800) | $119K | $133K | $71K | |
| Lincoln (Tract 002002) | $124K | $139K | $53K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
