What is the home price forecast for Tract 005209?

Homecastr forecasts Tract 005209 median home values at $717,255 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.1%.

How confident is the Tract 005209 forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $422,783 (downside) to $1,230,158 (upside), with a spread of 105% of median.

What is the home price forecast for Tract 005209?

Homecastr forecasts Tract 005209 median home values at $717,255 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.1%.

How confident is the Tract 005209 forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $422,783 (downside) to $1,230,158 (upside), with a spread of 105% of median.

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Tract 005209 Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Tract 005209 Home Price Forecast

Kimball, NE · Census Tract 31105005209 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$717K

Downside (P10)

$423K

-41% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$769K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.23M

+72% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -41% to +72%. The model forecasts this with 42% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$717K	$768K	$714K	$708K	$769K
Growth $ vs 2026		+$50,578	-$3,700	-$9,297	+$51,274
Growth % vs 2026		+7.1%	-0.5%	-1.3%	+7.1%
Downside (P10)		$506K	$437K	$396K	$423K
Upside (P90)		$1.0M	$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.2M

Location

Tract 005209 on map

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Forecast Confidence

42%

Lower Confidence

The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.

Near-term band

$506K to $1.0M

70.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$423K to $1.2M

105.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.1% · Spread: 105%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Tract 005209	$717K	$769K	+7.1%
Kimball (Tract 006305)	$714K	$843K	+18.0%
Kimball (Tract 055848)	$708K	$821K	+16.0%
Kimball (Tract 058243)	$721K	$762K	+5.7%
Kimball (Tract 023773)	$714K	$720K	+0.8%
Kimball (Tract 005500)	$719K	$708K	-1.5%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Tract 005209	$717K	$769K	+7.1%
Kimball (Tract 059349)	$537K	$691K	+28.7%
Kimball (Tract 058942)	$516K	$652K	+26.2%
Kimball (Tract 058641)	$609K	$748K	+22.9%
Kimball (Tract 059446)	$501K	$602K	+20.1%
Kimball (Tract 060040)	$630K	$756K	+20.0%

Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).