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Hettinger, ND · Census Tract 38041200006 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$477K
Downside (P10)
$259K
-46% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$543K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.02M
+114% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -46% to +114%. The model forecasts this with 23% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $477K | $525K | $507K | $521K | $543K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$48,552 | +$29,912 | +$44,504 | +$66,414 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +10.2% | +6.3% | +9.3% | +13.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $343K | $291K | $268K | $259K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $799K | $861K | $925K | $1.0M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$343K to $799K
86.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$259K to $1.0M
139.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200006 | $477K | $543K | +13.9% | |
| Hettinger (Tract 040004) | $482K | $723K | +50.0% | |
| Hettinger (Tract 840000) | $305K | $434K | +42.2% | |
| Hettinger (Tract 880002) | $298K | $408K | +37.2% | |
| Hettinger (Tract 080006) | $333K | $452K | +35.6% | |
| Black Butte area | $164K | $170K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200006 | $477K | $543K | +13.9% | |
| Hettinger (Tract 040004) | $482K | $723K | +50.0% | |
| Hettinger (Tract 840000) | $305K | $434K | +42.2% | |
| Hettinger (Tract 880002) | $298K | $408K | +37.2% | |
| Hettinger (Tract 080006) | $333K | $452K | +35.6% | |
| Black Butte area | $164K | $170K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200006 | $477K | $543K | $760K | |
| Hettinger (Tract 080006) | $333K | $452K | $443K | |
| Hettinger (Tract 840000) | $305K | $434K | $361K | |
| Hettinger (Tract 880002) | $298K | $408K | $331K | |
| Black Butte area | $164K | $170K | $84K | |
| Beery area | $95K | $98K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Hettinger, ND · Census Tract 38041200006 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$477K
Downside (P10)
$259K
-46% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$543K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.02M
+114% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -46% to +114%. The model forecasts this with 23% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $477K | $525K | $507K | $521K | $543K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$48,552 | +$29,912 | +$44,504 | +$66,414 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +10.2% | +6.3% | +9.3% | +13.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $343K | $291K | $268K | $259K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $799K | $861K | $925K | $1.0M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$343K to $799K
86.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$259K to $1.0M
139.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200006 | $477K | $543K | +13.9% | |
| Hettinger (Tract 040004) | $482K | $723K | +50.0% | |
| Hettinger (Tract 840000) | $305K | $434K | +42.2% | |
| Hettinger (Tract 880002) | $298K | $408K | +37.2% | |
| Hettinger (Tract 080006) | $333K | $452K | +35.6% | |
| Black Butte area | $164K | $170K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200006 | $477K | $543K | +13.9% | |
| Hettinger (Tract 040004) | $482K | $723K | +50.0% | |
| Hettinger (Tract 840000) | $305K | $434K | +42.2% | |
| Hettinger (Tract 880002) | $298K | $408K | +37.2% | |
| Hettinger (Tract 080006) | $333K | $452K | +35.6% | |
| Black Butte area | $164K | $170K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200006 | $477K | $543K | $760K | |
| Hettinger (Tract 080006) | $333K | $452K | $443K | |
| Hettinger (Tract 840000) | $305K | $434K | $361K | |
| Hettinger (Tract 880002) | $298K | $408K | $331K | |
| Black Butte area | $164K | $170K | $84K | |
| Beery area | $95K | $98K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
