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Cass, ND · ZIP 58104 · Census Tract 38017040509 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$388K
Downside (P10)
$347K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$439K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$727K
+88% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +88%. The model forecasts this with 52% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $376K | $377K | $416K | $375K | $390K | $388K | $408K | $422K | $439K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$11,962 | -$11,062 | +$28,838 | -$12,962 | +$2,738 | +$20,849 | +$33,955 | +$50,989 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -3.1% | -2.9% | +7.4% | -3.3% | +0.7% | +5.4% | +8.8% | +13.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $337K | $334K | $347K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $499K | $588K | $727K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$337K to $499K
39.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$347K to $727K
86.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley | $390K | $439K | +12.3% | |
| Fargo | $402K | $465K | +15.6% | |
| West Fargo (Tract 040507) | $372K | $425K | +14.3% | |
| West Fargo (Tract 010205) | $399K | $450K | +12.6% | |
| West Fargo (Tract 040502) | $397K | $426K | +7.4% | |
| Raymond area | $375K | $383K | +2.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley | $390K | $439K | +12.3% | |
| West Fargo | $227K | $281K | +23.6% | |
| Fargo (Tract 010306) | $328K | $383K | +17.0% | |
| Fargo (Tract 010303) | $338K | $394K | +16.8% | |
| Fargo (Tract 000602) | $222K | $256K | +15.6% | |
| Fargo (Tract 040504) | $402K | $465K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley | $390K | $439K | $380K | |
| Fargo (Tract 000601) | $180K | $188K | $127K | |
| Fargo (Tract 000903) | $198K | $224K | $126K | |
| Fargo (Tract 000502) | $157K | $176K | $121K | |
| Fargo (Tract 000802) | $204K | $218K | $111K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Cass, ND · ZIP 58104 · Census Tract 38017040509 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$388K
Downside (P10)
$347K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$439K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$727K
+88% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +88%. The model forecasts this with 52% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $376K | $377K | $416K | $375K | $390K | $388K | $408K | $422K | $439K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$11,962 | -$11,062 | +$28,838 | -$12,962 | +$2,738 | +$20,849 | +$33,955 | +$50,989 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -3.1% | -2.9% | +7.4% | -3.3% | +0.7% | +5.4% | +8.8% | +13.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $337K | $334K | $347K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $499K | $588K | $727K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$337K to $499K
39.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$347K to $727K
86.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley | $390K | $439K | +12.3% | |
| Fargo | $402K | $465K | +15.6% | |
| West Fargo (Tract 040507) | $372K | $425K | +14.3% | |
| West Fargo (Tract 010205) | $399K | $450K | +12.6% | |
| West Fargo (Tract 040502) | $397K | $426K | +7.4% | |
| Raymond area | $375K | $383K | +2.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley | $390K | $439K | +12.3% | |
| West Fargo | $227K | $281K | +23.6% | |
| Fargo (Tract 010306) | $328K | $383K | +17.0% | |
| Fargo (Tract 010303) | $338K | $394K | +16.8% | |
| Fargo (Tract 000602) | $222K | $256K | +15.6% | |
| Fargo (Tract 040504) | $402K | $465K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley | $390K | $439K | $380K | |
| Fargo (Tract 000601) | $180K | $188K | $127K | |
| Fargo (Tract 000903) | $198K | $224K | $126K | |
| Fargo (Tract 000502) | $157K | $176K | $121K | |
| Fargo (Tract 000802) | $204K | $218K | $111K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
