What is the home price forecast for Parcel 38017040506 in Fargo · 58104 · (Tract 405.6)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $338,423 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 38017040506 in Fargo · 58104 · (Tract 405.6)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $338,423 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.5%.

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Parcel 38017040506 (Fargo) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 38017040506, Fargo · 58104 · (Tract 405.6) Home Price Forecast

Cass, ND · ZIP 58104 · Census Tract 38017040506 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$338K

Downside (P10)

$271K

-20% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$350K

+3% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$460K

+36% by 2030

Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$270K	$280K	$336K	$355K	$330K	$338K	$337K	$348K	$350K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$68,623	-$58,723	-$2,323	+$16,377	-$8,423		-$1,765	+$9,613	+$11,743
Growth % vs 2026	-20.3%	-17.4%	-0.7%	+4.8%	-2.5%		-0.5%	+2.8%	+3.5%
Downside (P10)							$269K	$270K	$271K
Upside (P90)							$407K	$431K	$460K

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$269K to $407K

41.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$271K to $460K

54.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.5% · Spread: 54%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 38017040506, Fargo · 58104 · (Tract 405.6) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).