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Cass, ND · ZIP 58104 · Census Tract 38017040505 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$289K
Downside (P10)
$228K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$299K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$401K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $301K | $268K | $253K | $273K | $285K | $289K | $299K | $302K | $299K |
| YoY Change | -10.9% | -5.4% | +7.9% | +4.1% | +1.6% | +3.4% | +0.8% | -0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $246K | $227K | $228K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $334K | $378K | $401K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$246K to $334K
29.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$228K to $401K
57.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fargo · 58104 · (Tract 405.5) | $289K | $299K | +3.3% | |
| Casselton area | $293K | $335K | +14.4% | |
| Fargo (Tract 000801) | $305K | $349K | +14.3% | |
| Fargo (Tract 000904) | $278K | $310K | +11.4% | |
| Fargo (Tract 000901) | $286K | $303K | +6.1% | |
| West Fargo area | $265K | $277K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fargo · 58104 · (Tract 405.5) | $289K | $299K | +3.3% | |
| West Fargo | $227K | $281K | +23.6% | |
| Fargo (Tract 010306) | $328K | $383K | +17.0% | |
| Fargo (Tract 010303) | $338K | $394K | +16.8% | |
| Fargo (Tract 000602) | $222K | $256K | +15.6% | |
| Fargo (Tract 040504) | $402K | $465K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fargo · 58104 · (Tract 405.5) | $289K | $299K | $173K | |
| Fargo (Tract 000601) | $180K | $188K | $127K | |
| Fargo (Tract 000903) | $198K | $224K | $126K | |
| Fargo (Tract 000502) | $157K | $176K | $121K | |
| Fargo (Tract 000802) | $204K | $218K | $111K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.