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Transylvania, NC · ZIP 28768 · Census Tract 37175960401 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$386K
Downside (P10)
$314K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$391K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$480K
+24% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +24%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $238K | $246K | $255K | $261K | $281K | $267K | $286K | $329K | $346K | $375K | $386K | $385K | $390K | $391K |
| YoY Change | +3.4% | +3.5% | +2.4% | +7.8% | -5.1% | +7.2% | +15.1% | +4.9% | +8.4% | +2.9% | -0.1% | +1.3% | +0.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $327K | $308K | $314K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $453K | $481K | $480K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$327K to $453K
32.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$314K to $480K
42.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little River area | $381K | $391K | +2.5% | |
| Brevard | $391K | $431K | +10.1% | |
| Hogback | $366K | $404K | +10.4% | |
| Catheys Creek | $433K | $448K | +3.4% | |
| Catheys Creek area | $338K | $353K | +4.4% | |
| Little River | $303K | $317K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little River area | $381K | $391K | +2.5% | |
| Hogback (Tract 960601) | $615K | $697K | +13.4% | |
| Hogback (Tract 960602) | $366K | $404K | +10.4% | |
| Eastatoe | $293K | $323K | +10.3% | |
| Brevard | $391K | $431K | +10.1% | |
| Boyd | $239K | $260K | +8.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little River area | $381K | $391K | $166K | |
| Gloucester area | $231K | $238K | $150K | |
| Boyd | $239K | $260K | $153K | |
| Eastatoe | $293K | $323K | $184K | |
| Little River | $303K | $317K | $206K | |
| Hogback | $366K | $404K | $235K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.