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Stanly, NC · ZIP 28001 · Census Tract 37167931002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$298K
Downside (P10)
$252K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$320K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$392K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $145K | $149K | $179K | $252K | $289K | $298K | $308K | $311K | $320K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$153,592 | -$149,292 | -$119,192 | -$46,592 | -$8,992 | +$9,417 | +$12,626 | +$21,869 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -51.5% | -50.0% | -40.0% | -15.6% | -3.0% | +3.2% | +4.2% | +7.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $268K | $253K | $252K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $341K | $372K | $392K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$268K to $341K
23.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$252K to $392K
43.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Albemarle | $290K | $320K | +10.6% | |
| Furr (Tract 930802) | $333K | $371K | +11.7% | |
| Big Lick (Tract 930901) | $259K | $288K | +11.2% | |
| Big Lick (Tract 930902) | $285K | $314K | +10.0% | |
| Harris | $272K | $297K | +9.5% | |
| Furr (Tract 930801) | $316K | $334K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Albemarle | $290K | $320K | +10.6% | |
| Stanly (Tract 920009) | $492K | $588K | +19.4% | |
| Stanly (Tract 880107) | $1.12M | $1.32M | +17.6% | |
| Furr | $333K | $371K | +11.7% | |
| Almond | $215K | $240K | +11.3% | |
| Big Lick | $259K | $288K | +11.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Albemarle | $290K | $320K | $140K | |
| Ridenhour | $224K | $224K | $119K | |
| Center | $237K | $261K | $115K | |
| North Albemarle | $151K | $166K | $112K | |
| South Albemarle area | $182K | $198K | $97K | |
| Albemarle | $107K | $110K | $71K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Stanly, NC · ZIP 28001 · Census Tract 37167931002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$298K
Downside (P10)
$252K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$320K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$392K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $145K | $149K | $179K | $252K | $289K | $298K | $308K | $311K | $320K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$153,592 | -$149,292 | -$119,192 | -$46,592 | -$8,992 | +$9,417 | +$12,626 | +$21,869 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -51.5% | -50.0% | -40.0% | -15.6% | -3.0% | +3.2% | +4.2% | +7.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $268K | $253K | $252K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $341K | $372K | $392K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$268K to $341K
23.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$252K to $392K
43.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Albemarle | $290K | $320K | +10.6% | |
| Furr (Tract 930802) | $333K | $371K | +11.7% | |
| Big Lick (Tract 930901) | $259K | $288K | +11.2% | |
| Big Lick (Tract 930902) | $285K | $314K | +10.0% | |
| Harris | $272K | $297K | +9.5% | |
| Furr (Tract 930801) | $316K | $334K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Albemarle | $290K | $320K | +10.6% | |
| Stanly (Tract 920009) | $492K | $588K | +19.4% | |
| Stanly (Tract 880107) | $1.12M | $1.32M | +17.6% | |
| Furr | $333K | $371K | +11.7% | |
| Almond | $215K | $240K | +11.3% | |
| Big Lick | $259K | $288K | +11.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Albemarle | $290K | $320K | $140K | |
| Ridenhour | $224K | $224K | $119K | |
| Center | $237K | $261K | $115K | |
| North Albemarle | $151K | $166K | $112K | |
| South Albemarle area | $182K | $198K | $97K | |
| Albemarle | $107K | $110K | $71K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
