What is the home price forecast for Parcel 37167930901 in Big Lick · Oakboro · (Tract 9309.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $265,839 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 37167930901 in Big Lick · Oakboro · (Tract 9309.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $265,839 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.3%.

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Parcel 37167930901 (Big Lick) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 37167930901, Big Lick · Oakboro · (Tract 9309.1) Home Price Forecast

Stanly, NC · ZIP 28129 · Census Tract 37167930901 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$266K

Downside (P10)

$229K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$288K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$397K

+49% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$183K	$214K	$228K	$241K	$257K	$266K	$265K	$280K	$288K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$82,539	-$51,439	-$38,339	-$24,839	-$9,339		-$950	+$13,937	+$22,134
Growth % vs 2026	-31.0%	-19.3%	-14.4%	-9.3%	-3.5%		-0.4%	+5.2%	+8.3%
Downside (P10)							$237K	$239K	$229K
Upside (P90)							$319K	$349K	$397K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$237K to $319K

30.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$229K to $397K

58.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.3% · Spread: 58%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 37167930901, Big Lick · Oakboro · (Tract 9309.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).