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Richmond, NC · ZIP 28379 · Census Tract 37153970800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$171K
Downside (P10)
$130K
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$180K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$283K
+66% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +66%. The model forecasts this with 53% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $72K | $70K | $75K | $73K | $83K | $87K | $94K | $113K | $161K | $164K | $171K | $171K | $175K | $180K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$99,296 | -$100,596 | -$95,596 | -$97,996 | -$87,396 | -$84,296 | -$76,896 | -$57,396 | -$9,796 | -$6,696 | +$302 | +$4,641 | +$9,135 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.1% | -58.9% | -56.0% | -57.4% | -51.2% | -49.4% | -45.0% | -33.6% | -5.7% | -3.9% | +0.2% | +2.7% | +5.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $141K | $135K | $130K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $213K | $232K | $283K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$141K to $213K
42.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$130K to $283K
85.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolf Pit · Rockingham · (Tract 9708) | $168K | $180K | +7.3% | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970600) | $124K | $139K | +12.5% | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970500) | $158K | $176K | +11.7% | |
| Beaverdam | $171K | $188K | +10.5% | |
| Mineral Springs area | $159K | $162K | +1.8% | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970400) | $181K | $183K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolf Pit · Rockingham · (Tract 9708) | $168K | $180K | +7.3% | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970600) | $124K | $139K | +12.5% | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970500) | $158K | $176K | +11.7% | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970300) | $106K | $117K | +10.7% | |
| Beaverdam | $171K | $188K | +10.5% | |
| Marks Creek | $123K | $135K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolf Pit · Rockingham · (Tract 9708) | $168K | $180K | $153K | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970500) | $158K | $176K | $76K | |
| Marks Creek (Tract 971000) | $123K | $135K | $66K | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970600) | $124K | $139K | $65K | |
| Marks Creek (Tract 971100) | $80K | $86K | $50K | |
| Wolf Pit | $101K | $110K | $48K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Richmond, NC · ZIP 28379 · Census Tract 37153970800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$171K
Downside (P10)
$130K
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$180K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$283K
+66% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +66%. The model forecasts this with 53% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $72K | $70K | $75K | $73K | $83K | $87K | $94K | $113K | $161K | $164K | $171K | $171K | $175K | $180K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$99,296 | -$100,596 | -$95,596 | -$97,996 | -$87,396 | -$84,296 | -$76,896 | -$57,396 | -$9,796 | -$6,696 | +$302 | +$4,641 | +$9,135 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.1% | -58.9% | -56.0% | -57.4% | -51.2% | -49.4% | -45.0% | -33.6% | -5.7% | -3.9% | +0.2% | +2.7% | +5.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $141K | $135K | $130K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $213K | $232K | $283K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$141K to $213K
42.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$130K to $283K
85.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolf Pit · Rockingham · (Tract 9708) | $168K | $180K | +7.3% | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970600) | $124K | $139K | +12.5% | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970500) | $158K | $176K | +11.7% | |
| Beaverdam | $171K | $188K | +10.5% | |
| Mineral Springs area | $159K | $162K | +1.8% | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970400) | $181K | $183K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolf Pit · Rockingham · (Tract 9708) | $168K | $180K | +7.3% | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970600) | $124K | $139K | +12.5% | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970500) | $158K | $176K | +11.7% | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970300) | $106K | $117K | +10.7% | |
| Beaverdam | $171K | $188K | +10.5% | |
| Marks Creek | $123K | $135K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolf Pit · Rockingham · (Tract 9708) | $168K | $180K | $153K | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970500) | $158K | $176K | $76K | |
| Marks Creek (Tract 971000) | $123K | $135K | $66K | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970600) | $124K | $139K | $65K | |
| Marks Creek (Tract 971100) | $80K | $86K | $50K | |
| Wolf Pit | $101K | $110K | $48K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
