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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Richmond, NC · ZIP 28345 · Census Tract 37153971100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$80K
Downside (P10)
$68K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$86K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$118K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $54K | $58K | $58K | $63K | $62K | $61K | $59K | $61K | $73K | $79K | $80K | $82K | $84K | $86K |
| YoY Change | +7.3% | +1.0% | +7.7% | -1.6% | -1.3% | -3.3% | +4.1% | +18.6% | +8.4% | +2.3% | +1.4% | +2.6% | +2.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $71K | $69K | $68K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $104K | $109K | $118K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$71K to $104K
41.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$68K to $118K
58.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marks Creek · Hamlet · (Tract 9711) | $80K | $86K | +7.6% | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970600) | $124K | $139K | +12.5% | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970300) | $106K | $117K | +10.7% | |
| Marks Creek (Tract 971000) | $123K | $135K | +9.2% | |
| Wolf Pit | $101K | $110K | +8.4% | |
| Marks Creek (Tract 970900) | $122K | $128K | +4.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marks Creek · Hamlet · (Tract 9711) | $80K | $86K | +7.6% | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970600) | $124K | $139K | +12.5% | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970500) | $158K | $176K | +11.7% | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970300) | $106K | $117K | +10.7% | |
| Beaverdam | $171K | $188K | +10.5% | |
| Marks Creek | $123K | $135K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marks Creek · Hamlet · (Tract 9711) | $80K | $86K | $50K | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970300) | $106K | $117K | $77K | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970500) | $158K | $176K | $76K | |
| Marks Creek | $123K | $135K | $66K | |
| Rockingham (Tract 970600) | $124K | $139K | $65K | |
| Wolf Pit | $101K | $110K | $48K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.