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Raleigh, NC · ZIP 27560 · Census Tract 37183053620 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$490K
Downside (P10)
$406K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$563K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$733K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $289K | $297K | $385K | $454K | $474K | $490K | $512K | $527K | $563K | $497K |
| YoY Change | +2.8% | +29.5% | +18.0% | +4.4% | +3.3% | +4.6% | +2.9% | +6.8% | -11.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $421K | $420K | $406K | $444K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $618K | $655K | $733K | $552K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$421K to $618K
38.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$444K to $552K
21.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedar Fork | $474K | $563K | +18.7% | |
| Cedar Fork | $492K | $565K | +14.9% | |
| Holly Springs | $491K | $546K | +11.1% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 054011) | $492K | $545K | +10.8% | |
| Leesville | $487K | $533K | +9.4% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 053714) | $489K | $495K | +1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedar Fork | $474K | $563K | +18.7% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 050700) | $462K | $560K | +21.1% | |
| White Oak | $528K | $639K | +21.0% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052507) | $510K | $616K | +20.8% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052101) | $230K | $274K | +19.3% | |
| Holly Springs | $501K | $596K | +19.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedar Fork | $474K | $563K | $326K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052811) | $239K | $260K | $133K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052002) | $245K | $272K | $132K | |
| Little River | $249K | $250K | $131K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052704) | $197K | $229K | $130K | |
| Marks Creek | $272K | $291K | $124K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.