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Raleigh, NC · ZIP 27592 · Census Tract 37183052901 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$384K
Downside (P10)
$345K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$415K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$533K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $180K | $175K | $179K | $195K | $239K | $240K | $272K | $359K | $368K | $370K | $384K | $395K | $412K | $415K | $387K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$203,492 | -$208,592 | -$205,192 | -$188,292 | -$144,492 | -$143,792 | -$111,392 | -$24,692 | -$15,792 | -$13,292 | +$11,627 | +$28,512 | +$31,732 | +$3,062 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -53.0% | -54.4% | -53.5% | -49.1% | -37.7% | -37.5% | -29.0% | -6.4% | -4.1% | -3.5% | +3.0% | +7.4% | +8.3% | +0.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $346K | $352K | $345K | $341K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $450K | $509K | $533K | $434K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$346K to $450K
26.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$341K to $434K
24.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panther Branch | $382K | $415K | +8.7% | |
| Panther Branch | $378K | $448K | +18.4% | |
| Cary (Tract 053524) | $379K | $427K | +12.6% | |
| Cary (Tract 053519) | $383K | $429K | +12.1% | |
| Middle Creek | $385K | $409K | +6.2% | |
| Raleigh | $374K | $391K | +4.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panther Branch | $382K | $415K | +8.7% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 050700) | $462K | $560K | +21.1% | |
| White Oak | $528K | $639K | +21.0% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052507) | $510K | $616K | +20.8% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052101) | $230K | $274K | +19.3% | |
| Holly Springs | $501K | $596K | +19.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panther Branch | $382K | $415K | $187K | |
| St. Marys | $254K | $290K | $141K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052101) | $230K | $274K | $136K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052811) | $239K | $260K | $133K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052002) | $245K | $272K | $132K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052704) | $197K | $229K | $130K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Raleigh, NC · ZIP 27592 · Census Tract 37183052901 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$384K
Downside (P10)
$345K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$415K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$533K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $180K | $175K | $179K | $195K | $239K | $240K | $272K | $359K | $368K | $370K | $384K | $395K | $412K | $415K | $387K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$203,492 | -$208,592 | -$205,192 | -$188,292 | -$144,492 | -$143,792 | -$111,392 | -$24,692 | -$15,792 | -$13,292 | +$11,627 | +$28,512 | +$31,732 | +$3,062 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -53.0% | -54.4% | -53.5% | -49.1% | -37.7% | -37.5% | -29.0% | -6.4% | -4.1% | -3.5% | +3.0% | +7.4% | +8.3% | +0.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $346K | $352K | $345K | $341K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $450K | $509K | $533K | $434K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$346K to $450K
26.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$341K to $434K
24.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panther Branch | $382K | $415K | +8.7% | |
| Panther Branch | $378K | $448K | +18.4% | |
| Cary (Tract 053524) | $379K | $427K | +12.6% | |
| Cary (Tract 053519) | $383K | $429K | +12.1% | |
| Middle Creek | $385K | $409K | +6.2% | |
| Raleigh | $374K | $391K | +4.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panther Branch | $382K | $415K | +8.7% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 050700) | $462K | $560K | +21.1% | |
| White Oak | $528K | $639K | +21.0% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052507) | $510K | $616K | +20.8% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052101) | $230K | $274K | +19.3% | |
| Holly Springs | $501K | $596K | +19.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panther Branch | $382K | $415K | $187K | |
| St. Marys | $254K | $290K | $141K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052101) | $230K | $274K | $136K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052811) | $239K | $260K | $133K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052002) | $245K | $272K | $132K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052704) | $197K | $229K | $130K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
