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Raleigh, NC · ZIP 27604 · Census Tract 37183050400 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$645K
Downside (P10)
$579K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$694K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$939K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $360K | $381K | $385K | $406K | $434K | $395K | $432K | $544K | $568K | $629K | $645K | $667K | $667K | $694K |
| YoY Change | +5.6% | +1.1% | +5.5% | +7.1% | -9.1% | +9.4% | +26.0% | +4.4% | +10.6% | +2.5% | +3.4% | -0.0% | +4.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $591K | $569K | $579K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $808K | $872K | $939K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$591K to $808K
32.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$579K to $939K
51.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raleigh · 27604 · (Tract 504) | $636K | $694K | +9.0% | |
| White Oak | $642K | $714K | +11.3% | |
| Cary (Tract 053603) | $648K | $725K | +11.9% | |
| Cary (Tract 053425) | $641K | $677K | +5.6% | |
| Cary (Tract 053522) | $649K | $707K | +9.0% | |
| Raleigh | $641K | $698K | +9.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raleigh · 27604 · (Tract 504) | $636K | $694K | +9.0% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 050700) | $462K | $560K | +21.1% | |
| White Oak | $528K | $639K | +21.0% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052507) | $510K | $616K | +20.8% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052101) | $230K | $274K | +19.3% | |
| Holly Springs | $501K | $596K | +19.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raleigh · 27604 · (Tract 504) | $636K | $694K | $360K | |
| Marks Creek | $272K | $291K | $124K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052704) | $197K | $229K | $130K | |
| Little River | $249K | $250K | $131K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052002) | $245K | $272K | $132K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052811) | $239K | $260K | $133K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.