What is the home price forecast for Parcel 37183054116 in Neuse · Raleigh · (Tract 541.16)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $353,957 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 37183054116 in Neuse · Raleigh · (Tract 541.16)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $353,957 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.5%.

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Parcel 37183054116 (Neuse) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 37183054116, Neuse · Raleigh · (Tract 541.16) Home Price Forecast

Raleigh, NC · ZIP 27616 · Census Tract 37183054116 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$354K

Downside (P10)

$316K

-11% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$384K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$496K

+40% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$168K	$204K	$253K	$307K	$348K	$354K	$374K	$384K	$384K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$185,557	-$149,557	-$100,557	-$46,957	-$6,357		+$19,670	+$30,234	+$30,056
Growth % vs 2026	-52.4%	-42.3%	-28.4%	-13.3%	-1.8%		+5.6%	+8.5%	+8.5%
Downside (P10)							$329K	$320K	$316K
Upside (P90)							$426K	$473K	$496K

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$329K to $426K

25.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$316K to $496K

47.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.5% · Spread: 47%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 37183054116, Neuse · Raleigh · (Tract 541.16) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).