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Lincoln, NC · ZIP 28080 · Census Tract 37109071001 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$266K
Downside (P10)
$218K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$288K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$360K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $126K | $136K | $139K | $137K | $147K | $149K | $161K | $189K | $235K | $259K | $266K | $271K | $285K | $288K |
| YoY Change | +7.4% | +2.7% | -1.9% | +7.5% | +1.4% | +7.9% | +17.9% | +24.0% | +10.1% | +2.9% | +1.9% | +5.3% | +1.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $232K | $229K | $218K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $321K | $355K | $360K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$232K to $321K
32.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$218K to $360K
49.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironton · Iron Station · (Tract 710.1) | $265K | $288K | +8.7% | |
| Lincolnton (Tract 070800) | $233K | $263K | +12.6% | |
| Lincolnton (Tract 070100) | $252K | $282K | +12.0% | |
| Howards Creek | $233K | $250K | +7.4% | |
| Catawba Springs | $241K | $258K | +7.2% | |
| Lincolnton area | $297K | $306K | +3.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironton · Iron Station · (Tract 710.1) | $265K | $288K | +8.7% | |
| Catawba Springs | $403K | $476K | +18.0% | |
| North Brook | $216K | $252K | +16.5% | |
| Lincolnton area | $182K | $205K | +12.8% | |
| Lincolnton (Tract 070800) | $233K | $263K | +12.6% | |
| Lincolnton (Tract 070100) | $252K | $282K | +12.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironton · Iron Station · (Tract 710.1) | $265K | $288K | $143K | |
| Catawba Springs | $241K | $258K | $124K | |
| North Brook | $216K | $252K | $113K | |
| Howards Creek | $233K | $250K | $107K | |
| Lincolnton area | $182K | $205K | $105K | |
| North Brook area | $214K | $218K | $97K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.