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Lincoln, NC · ZIP 28037 · Census Tract 37109071202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$497K
Downside (P10)
$417K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$525K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$732K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $371K | $347K | $390K | $422K | $394K | $389K | $397K | $431K | $470K | $486K | $497K | $507K | $515K | $525K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$125,802 | -$150,702 | -$107,102 | -$74,902 | -$103,502 | -$108,502 | -$100,702 | -$65,902 | -$27,202 | -$11,302 | +$10,262 | +$17,316 | +$28,201 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.3% | -30.3% | -21.5% | -15.1% | -20.8% | -21.8% | -20.3% | -13.3% | -5.5% | -2.3% | +2.1% | +3.5% | +5.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $444K | $433K | $417K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $650K | $710K | $732K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$444K to $650K
40.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$417K to $732K
60.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catawba Springs · Denver · (Tract 712.2) | $500K | $525K | +5.2% | |
| Catawba Springs (Tract 071101) | $403K | $476K | +18.0% | |
| Catawba Springs (Tract 071203) | $660K | $710K | +7.7% | |
| Ironton | $409K | $440K | +7.6% | |
| Catawba Springs (Tract 071102) | $467K | $493K | +5.6% | |
| Catawba Springs (Tract 071201) | $677K | $711K | +5.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catawba Springs · Denver · (Tract 712.2) | $500K | $525K | +5.2% | |
| Catawba Springs | $403K | $476K | +18.0% | |
| North Brook | $216K | $252K | +16.5% | |
| Lincolnton area | $182K | $205K | +12.8% | |
| Lincolnton (Tract 070800) | $233K | $263K | +12.6% | |
| Lincolnton (Tract 070100) | $252K | $282K | +12.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catawba Springs · Denver · (Tract 712.2) | $500K | $525K | $316K | |
| Catawba Springs | $241K | $258K | $124K | |
| North Brook | $216K | $252K | $113K | |
| Howards Creek | $233K | $250K | $107K | |
| Lincolnton area | $182K | $205K | $105K | |
| North Brook area | $214K | $218K | $97K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Lincoln, NC · ZIP 28037 · Census Tract 37109071202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$497K
Downside (P10)
$417K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$525K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$732K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $371K | $347K | $390K | $422K | $394K | $389K | $397K | $431K | $470K | $486K | $497K | $507K | $515K | $525K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$125,802 | -$150,702 | -$107,102 | -$74,902 | -$103,502 | -$108,502 | -$100,702 | -$65,902 | -$27,202 | -$11,302 | +$10,262 | +$17,316 | +$28,201 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.3% | -30.3% | -21.5% | -15.1% | -20.8% | -21.8% | -20.3% | -13.3% | -5.5% | -2.3% | +2.1% | +3.5% | +5.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $444K | $433K | $417K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $650K | $710K | $732K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$444K to $650K
40.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$417K to $732K
60.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catawba Springs · Denver · (Tract 712.2) | $500K | $525K | +5.2% | |
| Catawba Springs (Tract 071101) | $403K | $476K | +18.0% | |
| Catawba Springs (Tract 071203) | $660K | $710K | +7.7% | |
| Ironton | $409K | $440K | +7.6% | |
| Catawba Springs (Tract 071102) | $467K | $493K | +5.6% | |
| Catawba Springs (Tract 071201) | $677K | $711K | +5.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catawba Springs · Denver · (Tract 712.2) | $500K | $525K | +5.2% | |
| Catawba Springs | $403K | $476K | +18.0% | |
| North Brook | $216K | $252K | +16.5% | |
| Lincolnton area | $182K | $205K | +12.8% | |
| Lincolnton (Tract 070800) | $233K | $263K | +12.6% | |
| Lincolnton (Tract 070100) | $252K | $282K | +12.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catawba Springs · Denver · (Tract 712.2) | $500K | $525K | $316K | |
| Catawba Springs | $241K | $258K | $124K | |
| North Brook | $216K | $252K | $113K | |
| Howards Creek | $233K | $250K | $107K | |
| Lincolnton area | $182K | $205K | $105K | |
| North Brook area | $214K | $218K | $97K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
