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Gaston, NC · ZIP 28120 · Census Tract 37071031101 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$294K
Downside (P10)
$275K
-6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$312K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$410K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $131K | $131K | $122K | $130K | $141K | $155K | $173K | $208K | $244K | $279K | $294K | $300K | $306K | $312K | $291K |
| YoY Change | -0.1% | -7.3% | +6.7% | +8.6% | +9.9% | +11.8% | +20.1% | +17.4% | +14.3% | +5.3% | +2.2% | +1.9% | +2.0% | -6.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $271K | $265K | $275K | $257K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $364K | $394K | $410K | $325K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$271K to $364K
31.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$257K to $325K
23.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverbend | $286K | $312K | +8.9% | |
| Gastonia | $303K | $336K | +10.8% | |
| Riverbend (Tract 033502) | $283K | $311K | +9.6% | |
| Dallas | $284K | $311K | +9.6% | |
| Riverbend (Tract 030103) | $298K | $318K | +6.7% | |
| South Point | $299K | $316K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverbend | $286K | $312K | +8.9% | |
| Gastonia | $234K | $276K | +18.2% | |
| Mount Holly | $341K | $402K | +18.1% | |
| Dallas | $314K | $369K | +17.4% | |
| South Point (Tract 031202) | $236K | $271K | +15.0% | |
| South Point (Tract 031304) | $224K | $257K | +14.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverbend | $286K | $312K | $135K | |
| Riverbend area | $158K | $181K | $90K | |
| Gastonia (Tract 033400) | $157K | $165K | $81K | |
| Gastonia (Tract 032100) | $186K | $204K | $78K | |
| Gastonia (Tract 032000) | $168K | $181K | $76K | |
| Gastonia (Tract 031500) | $137K | $144K | $75K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.