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Gaston, NC · ZIP 28021 · Census Tract 37071030601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$240K
Downside (P10)
$199K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$254K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$337K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $116K | $140K | $139K | $135K | $142K | $151K | $153K | $179K | $192K | $232K | $240K | $243K | $255K | $254K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$123,335 | -$99,235 | -$100,735 | -$104,435 | -$98,035 | -$89,135 | -$86,635 | -$60,235 | -$47,535 | -$7,835 | +$3,292 | +$15,600 | +$14,622 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -51.5% | -41.4% | -42.0% | -43.6% | -40.9% | -37.2% | -36.2% | -25.1% | -19.8% | -3.3% | +1.4% | +6.5% | +6.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $207K | $212K | $199K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $293K | $306K | $337K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$207K to $293K
35.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$199K to $337K
54.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherryville · 28021 · (Tract 306.1) | $235K | $254K | +8.4% | |
| South Point | $236K | $271K | +15.0% | |
| Cherryville | $238K | $266K | +11.9% | |
| Gastonia (Tract 032900) | $243K | $259K | +6.6% | |
| Crowders Mountain area | $236K | $249K | +5.4% | |
| Gastonia (Tract 032704) | $241K | $238K | -1.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherryville · 28021 · (Tract 306.1) | $235K | $254K | +8.4% | |
| Gastonia | $234K | $276K | +18.2% | |
| Mount Holly | $341K | $402K | +18.1% | |
| Dallas | $314K | $369K | +17.4% | |
| South Point (Tract 031202) | $236K | $271K | +15.0% | |
| South Point (Tract 031304) | $224K | $257K | +14.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherryville · 28021 · (Tract 306.1) | $235K | $254K | $138K | |
| Riverbend area | $158K | $181K | $90K | |
| Gastonia (Tract 033400) | $157K | $165K | $81K | |
| Gastonia (Tract 032100) | $186K | $204K | $78K | |
| Gastonia (Tract 032000) | $168K | $181K | $76K | |
| Gastonia (Tract 031500) | $137K | $144K | $75K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Gaston, NC · ZIP 28021 · Census Tract 37071030601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$240K
Downside (P10)
$199K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$254K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$337K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $116K | $140K | $139K | $135K | $142K | $151K | $153K | $179K | $192K | $232K | $240K | $243K | $255K | $254K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$123,335 | -$99,235 | -$100,735 | -$104,435 | -$98,035 | -$89,135 | -$86,635 | -$60,235 | -$47,535 | -$7,835 | +$3,292 | +$15,600 | +$14,622 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -51.5% | -41.4% | -42.0% | -43.6% | -40.9% | -37.2% | -36.2% | -25.1% | -19.8% | -3.3% | +1.4% | +6.5% | +6.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $207K | $212K | $199K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $293K | $306K | $337K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$207K to $293K
35.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$199K to $337K
54.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherryville · 28021 · (Tract 306.1) | $235K | $254K | +8.4% | |
| South Point | $236K | $271K | +15.0% | |
| Cherryville | $238K | $266K | +11.9% | |
| Gastonia (Tract 032900) | $243K | $259K | +6.6% | |
| Crowders Mountain area | $236K | $249K | +5.4% | |
| Gastonia (Tract 032704) | $241K | $238K | -1.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherryville · 28021 · (Tract 306.1) | $235K | $254K | +8.4% | |
| Gastonia | $234K | $276K | +18.2% | |
| Mount Holly | $341K | $402K | +18.1% | |
| Dallas | $314K | $369K | +17.4% | |
| South Point (Tract 031202) | $236K | $271K | +15.0% | |
| South Point (Tract 031304) | $224K | $257K | +14.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherryville · 28021 · (Tract 306.1) | $235K | $254K | $138K | |
| Riverbend area | $158K | $181K | $90K | |
| Gastonia (Tract 033400) | $157K | $165K | $81K | |
| Gastonia (Tract 032100) | $186K | $204K | $78K | |
| Gastonia (Tract 032000) | $168K | $181K | $76K | |
| Gastonia (Tract 031500) | $137K | $144K | $75K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
