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Edgecombe, NC · Census Tract 37065840003 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$534K
Downside (P10)
$339K
-36% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$620K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.17M
+119% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -36% to +119%. The model forecasts this with 27% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $534K | $611K | $602K | $594K | $620K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$77,470 | +$68,380 | +$59,720 | +$86,028 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +14.5% | +12.8% | +11.2% | +16.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $442K | $378K | $322K | $339K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $891K | $960K | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$442K to $891K
73.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$339K to $1.2M
133.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840003 | $534K | $620K | +16.1% | |
| Edgecombe (Tract 600007) | $416K | $533K | +28.3% | |
| Edgecombe (Tract 760002) | $850K | $1.01M | +18.7% | |
| Edgecombe (Tract 000005) | $590K | $666K | +12.9% | |
| 1, Tarboro (Tract 021200) | $221K | $246K | +11.4% | |
| 1, Tarboro (Tract 021000) | $182K | $187K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840003 | $534K | $620K | +16.1% | |
| Edgecombe (Tract 600007) | $416K | $533K | +28.3% | |
| Edgecombe (Tract 760002) | $850K | $1.01M | +18.7% | |
| 12, Rocky Mount | $122K | $138K | +13.1% | |
| Edgecombe (Tract 000005) | $590K | $666K | +12.9% | |
| 6, Upper Fishing Creek | $99K | $112K | +12.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840003 | $534K | $620K | $828K | |
| 7, Swift Creek | $93K | $96K | $46K | |
| 9, Otter Creek area | $148K | $150K | $38K | |
| 13, Cokey | $131K | $131K | $33K | |
| 5, Lower Fishing Creek area | $128K | $125K | $32K | |
| 12, Rocky Mount | $99K | $101K | $27K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Edgecombe, NC · Census Tract 37065840003 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$534K
Downside (P10)
$339K
-36% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$620K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.17M
+119% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -36% to +119%. The model forecasts this with 27% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $534K | $611K | $602K | $594K | $620K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$77,470 | +$68,380 | +$59,720 | +$86,028 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +14.5% | +12.8% | +11.2% | +16.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $442K | $378K | $322K | $339K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $891K | $960K | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$442K to $891K
73.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$339K to $1.2M
133.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840003 | $534K | $620K | +16.1% | |
| Edgecombe (Tract 600007) | $416K | $533K | +28.3% | |
| Edgecombe (Tract 760002) | $850K | $1.01M | +18.7% | |
| Edgecombe (Tract 000005) | $590K | $666K | +12.9% | |
| 1, Tarboro (Tract 021200) | $221K | $246K | +11.4% | |
| 1, Tarboro (Tract 021000) | $182K | $187K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840003 | $534K | $620K | +16.1% | |
| Edgecombe (Tract 600007) | $416K | $533K | +28.3% | |
| Edgecombe (Tract 760002) | $850K | $1.01M | +18.7% | |
| 12, Rocky Mount | $122K | $138K | +13.1% | |
| Edgecombe (Tract 000005) | $590K | $666K | +12.9% | |
| 6, Upper Fishing Creek | $99K | $112K | +12.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840003 | $534K | $620K | $828K | |
| 7, Swift Creek | $93K | $96K | $46K | |
| 9, Otter Creek area | $148K | $150K | $38K | |
| 13, Cokey | $131K | $131K | $33K | |
| 5, Lower Fishing Creek area | $128K | $125K | $32K | |
| 12, Rocky Mount | $99K | $101K | $27K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
