What is the home price forecast for Parcel 37037020203 in Hickory Mountain?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $413,571 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 37037020203 in Hickory Mountain?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $413,571 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.1%.

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Parcel 37037020203 (Hickory Mountain) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 37037020203, Hickory Mountain Home Price Forecast

Chatham, NC · ZIP 27312 · Census Tract 37037020203 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$414K

Downside (P10)

$337K

-18% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$426K

+3% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$638K

+54% by 2030

Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$265K	$275K	$290K	$344K	$391K	$414K	$416K	$428K	$426K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$148,871	-$138,171	-$124,071	-$70,071	-$22,971		+$2,474	+$13,997	+$12,647
Growth % vs 2026	-36.0%	-33.4%	-30.0%	-16.9%	-5.6%		+0.6%	+3.4%	+3.1%
Downside (P10)							$336K	$346K	$337K
Upside (P90)							$505K	$560K	$638K

Forecast Confidence

61%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$336K to $505K

40.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$337K to $638K

70.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.1% · Spread: 71%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 37037020203, Hickory Mountain on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).