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Charlotte, NC · ZIP 28262 · Census Tract 37119005519 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$406K
Downside (P10)
$363K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$419K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$595K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $193K | $196K | $218K | $213K | $228K | $234K | $248K | $286K | $326K | $398K | $406K | $417K | $425K | $419K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$212,985 | -$210,085 | -$188,885 | -$193,485 | -$178,085 | -$172,185 | -$158,385 | -$119,985 | -$80,585 | -$8,785 | +$10,711 | +$18,354 | +$12,135 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -52.4% | -51.7% | -46.5% | -47.6% | -43.8% | -42.4% | -39.0% | -29.5% | -19.8% | -2.2% | +2.6% | +4.5% | +3.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $363K | $361K | $363K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $471K | $547K | $595K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$363K to $471K
25.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$363K to $595K
55.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Mallard Creek area | $401K | $419K | +4.3% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 001914) | $405K | $450K | +11.1% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 000103) | $403K | $443K | +10.1% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 003108) | $413K | $445K | +7.6% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 001701) | $397K | $424K | +6.7% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 005526) | $406K | $430K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Mallard Creek area | $401K | $419K | +4.3% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 003702) | $363K | $443K | +22.3% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 003204) | $594K | $724K | +22.0% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 001920) | $223K | $272K | +21.6% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 002005) | $838K | $1.00M | +19.9% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 003811) | $224K | $268K | +19.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Mallard Creek area | $401K | $419K | $232K | |
| Charlotte (Tract 001505) | $239K | $254K | $104K | |
| Charlotte (Tract 004000) | $165K | $175K | $84K | |
| Charlotte (Tract 004302) | $159K | $180K | $83K | |
| Charlotte (Tract 003902) | $148K | $160K | $75K | |
| Charlotte (Tract 005306) | $101K | $113K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Charlotte, NC · ZIP 28262 · Census Tract 37119005519 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$406K
Downside (P10)
$363K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$419K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$595K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $193K | $196K | $218K | $213K | $228K | $234K | $248K | $286K | $326K | $398K | $406K | $417K | $425K | $419K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$212,985 | -$210,085 | -$188,885 | -$193,485 | -$178,085 | -$172,185 | -$158,385 | -$119,985 | -$80,585 | -$8,785 | +$10,711 | +$18,354 | +$12,135 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -52.4% | -51.7% | -46.5% | -47.6% | -43.8% | -42.4% | -39.0% | -29.5% | -19.8% | -2.2% | +2.6% | +4.5% | +3.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $363K | $361K | $363K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $471K | $547K | $595K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$363K to $471K
25.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$363K to $595K
55.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Mallard Creek area | $401K | $419K | +4.3% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 001914) | $405K | $450K | +11.1% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 000103) | $403K | $443K | +10.1% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 003108) | $413K | $445K | +7.6% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 001701) | $397K | $424K | +6.7% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 005526) | $406K | $430K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Mallard Creek area | $401K | $419K | +4.3% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 003702) | $363K | $443K | +22.3% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 003204) | $594K | $724K | +22.0% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 001920) | $223K | $272K | +21.6% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 002005) | $838K | $1.00M | +19.9% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 003811) | $224K | $268K | +19.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Mallard Creek area | $401K | $419K | $232K | |
| Charlotte (Tract 001505) | $239K | $254K | $104K | |
| Charlotte (Tract 004000) | $165K | $175K | $84K | |
| Charlotte (Tract 004302) | $159K | $180K | $83K | |
| Charlotte (Tract 003902) | $148K | $160K | $75K | |
| Charlotte (Tract 005306) | $101K | $113K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
