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Catawba, NC · ZIP 28601 · Census Tract 37035010303 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$207K
Downside (P10)
$175K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$216K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$292K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $123K | $120K | $118K | $123K | $129K | $134K | $140K | $155K | $182K | $198K | $207K | $214K | $220K | $216K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$83,844 | -$87,044 | -$88,544 | -$83,944 | -$77,844 | -$73,144 | -$67,144 | -$52,244 | -$25,444 | -$8,844 | +$7,374 | +$13,259 | +$8,701 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.5% | -42.1% | -42.8% | -40.6% | -37.6% | -35.3% | -32.4% | -25.2% | -12.3% | -4.3% | +3.6% | +6.4% | +4.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $190K | $180K | $175K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $248K | $275K | $292K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$190K to $248K
27.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$175K to $292K
54.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Stephens | $200K | $216K | +7.7% | |
| Hickory (Tract 010404) | $223K | $268K | +20.1% | |
| Caldwell | $205K | $231K | +12.6% | |
| Hickory (Tract 011101) | $221K | $245K | +11.1% | |
| Clines | $223K | $241K | +8.0% | |
| Newton | $198K | $203K | +2.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Stephens | $200K | $216K | +7.7% | |
| Hickory (Tract 010403) | $248K | $304K | +22.4% | |
| Hickory (Tract 010404) | $223K | $268K | +20.1% | |
| Hickory (Tract 010501) | $465K | $552K | +18.8% | |
| Hickory (Tract 010304) | $234K | $267K | +14.1% | |
| Hickory (Tract 010502) | $395K | $448K | +13.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Stephens | $200K | $216K | $117K | |
| Hickory (Tract 010402) | $177K | $194K | $98K | |
| Hickory (Tract 010700) | $115K | $127K | $95K | |
| Newton | $198K | $203K | $93K | |
| Hickory (Tract 010900) | $126K | $133K | $80K | |
| Hickory (Tract 011000) | $112K | $123K | $71K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Catawba, NC · ZIP 28601 · Census Tract 37035010303 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$207K
Downside (P10)
$175K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$216K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$292K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $123K | $120K | $118K | $123K | $129K | $134K | $140K | $155K | $182K | $198K | $207K | $214K | $220K | $216K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$83,844 | -$87,044 | -$88,544 | -$83,944 | -$77,844 | -$73,144 | -$67,144 | -$52,244 | -$25,444 | -$8,844 | +$7,374 | +$13,259 | +$8,701 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.5% | -42.1% | -42.8% | -40.6% | -37.6% | -35.3% | -32.4% | -25.2% | -12.3% | -4.3% | +3.6% | +6.4% | +4.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $190K | $180K | $175K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $248K | $275K | $292K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$190K to $248K
27.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$175K to $292K
54.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Stephens | $200K | $216K | +7.7% | |
| Hickory (Tract 010404) | $223K | $268K | +20.1% | |
| Caldwell | $205K | $231K | +12.6% | |
| Hickory (Tract 011101) | $221K | $245K | +11.1% | |
| Clines | $223K | $241K | +8.0% | |
| Newton | $198K | $203K | +2.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Stephens | $200K | $216K | +7.7% | |
| Hickory (Tract 010403) | $248K | $304K | +22.4% | |
| Hickory (Tract 010404) | $223K | $268K | +20.1% | |
| Hickory (Tract 010501) | $465K | $552K | +18.8% | |
| Hickory (Tract 010304) | $234K | $267K | +14.1% | |
| Hickory (Tract 010502) | $395K | $448K | +13.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Stephens | $200K | $216K | $117K | |
| Hickory (Tract 010402) | $177K | $194K | $98K | |
| Hickory (Tract 010700) | $115K | $127K | $95K | |
| Newton | $198K | $203K | $93K | |
| Hickory (Tract 010900) | $126K | $133K | $80K | |
| Hickory (Tract 011000) | $112K | $123K | $71K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
