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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Carteret, NC · ZIP 28570 · Census Tract 37031970805 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$254K
Downside (P10)
$219K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$261K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$380K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $174K | $149K | $157K | $163K | $163K | $166K | $165K | $185K | $209K | $248K | $254K | $255K | $259K | $261K |
| YoY Change | -14.3% | +5.6% | +3.5% | -0.1% | +1.9% | -0.4% | +12.3% | +12.6% | +18.7% | +2.6% | +0.4% | +1.6% | +0.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $216K | $223K | $219K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $300K | $334K | $380K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$216K to $300K
33.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$219K to $380K
61.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| White Oak · Newport · (Tract 9708.5) | $250K | $261K | +4.7% | |
| Beaufort | $266K | $293K | +10.1% | |
| Newport | $249K | $273K | +9.8% | |
| Newport area | $244K | $261K | +7.1% | |
| Morehead | $252K | $261K | +3.4% | |
| Morehead City | $245K | $250K | +1.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| White Oak · Newport · (Tract 9708.5) | $250K | $261K | +4.7% | |
| White Oak (Tract 970904) | $491K | $567K | +15.5% | |
| White Oak (Tract 970903) | $722K | $817K | +13.2% | |
| Newport | $213K | $240K | +12.7% | |
| Beaufort | $443K | $495K | +11.6% | |
| Morehead | $606K | $671K | +10.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| White Oak · Newport · (Tract 9708.5) | $250K | $261K | $161K | |
| Morehead City (Tract 970402) | $245K | $250K | $141K | |
| Morehead City (Tract 970401) | $161K | $178K | $117K | |
| Morehead (Tract 970501) | $194K | $205K | $104K | |
| Atlantic | $170K | $185K | $87K | |
| Morehead (Tract 970603) | $122K | $131K | $55K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.