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Caldwell, NC · ZIP 28645 · Census Tract 37027030500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$248K
Downside (P10)
$202K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$273K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$413K
+67% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +67%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $146K | $145K | $146K | $146K | $165K | $175K | $191K | $201K | $238K | $238K | $248K | $250K | $264K | $273K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$102,219 | -$102,819 | -$102,019 | -$102,319 | -$83,519 | -$73,519 | -$56,919 | -$47,019 | -$10,419 | -$9,719 | +$2,255 | +$16,178 | +$24,722 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -41.2% | -41.4% | -41.1% | -41.2% | -33.7% | -29.6% | -22.9% | -19.0% | -4.2% | -3.9% | +0.9% | +6.5% | +10.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $209K | $204K | $202K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $316K | $344K | $413K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$209K to $316K
42.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$202K to $413K
77.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower Creek | $244K | $273K | +11.9% | |
| Hudson | $222K | $251K | +13.1% | |
| Kings Creek area | $242K | $262K | +8.2% | |
| Lovelady (Tract 031403) | $217K | $231K | +6.5% | |
| Little River | $221K | $234K | +6.1% | |
| Lovelady (Tract 031302) | $217K | $220K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower Creek | $244K | $273K | +11.9% | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030100) | $157K | $182K | +15.8% | |
| Hudson area | $158K | $181K | +15.0% | |
| Lovelady | $190K | $215K | +13.2% | |
| Hudson | $222K | $251K | +13.1% | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030300) | $150K | $167K | +11.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower Creek | $244K | $273K | $211K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030802) | $152K | $165K | $90K | |
| Patterson area | $166K | $180K | $89K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030200) | $128K | $143K | $81K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030300) | $150K | $167K | $75K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030400) | $124K | $126K | $68K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Caldwell, NC · ZIP 28645 · Census Tract 37027030500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$248K
Downside (P10)
$202K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$273K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$413K
+67% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +67%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $146K | $145K | $146K | $146K | $165K | $175K | $191K | $201K | $238K | $238K | $248K | $250K | $264K | $273K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$102,219 | -$102,819 | -$102,019 | -$102,319 | -$83,519 | -$73,519 | -$56,919 | -$47,019 | -$10,419 | -$9,719 | +$2,255 | +$16,178 | +$24,722 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -41.2% | -41.4% | -41.1% | -41.2% | -33.7% | -29.6% | -22.9% | -19.0% | -4.2% | -3.9% | +0.9% | +6.5% | +10.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $209K | $204K | $202K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $316K | $344K | $413K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$209K to $316K
42.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$202K to $413K
77.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower Creek | $244K | $273K | +11.9% | |
| Hudson | $222K | $251K | +13.1% | |
| Kings Creek area | $242K | $262K | +8.2% | |
| Lovelady (Tract 031403) | $217K | $231K | +6.5% | |
| Little River | $221K | $234K | +6.1% | |
| Lovelady (Tract 031302) | $217K | $220K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower Creek | $244K | $273K | +11.9% | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030100) | $157K | $182K | +15.8% | |
| Hudson area | $158K | $181K | +15.0% | |
| Lovelady | $190K | $215K | +13.2% | |
| Hudson | $222K | $251K | +13.1% | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030300) | $150K | $167K | +11.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower Creek | $244K | $273K | $211K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030802) | $152K | $165K | $90K | |
| Patterson area | $166K | $180K | $89K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030200) | $128K | $143K | $81K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030300) | $150K | $167K | $75K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030400) | $124K | $126K | $68K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
