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Caldwell, NC · ZIP 28611 · Census Tract 37027030900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$214K
Downside (P10)
$184K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$225K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$348K
+63% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +63%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $101K | $97K | $82K | $78K | $75K | $91K | $124K | $157K | $167K | $208K | $214K | $217K | $229K | $225K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$113,276 | -$117,476 | -$131,876 | -$135,676 | -$138,776 | -$123,576 | -$90,376 | -$56,676 | -$47,476 | -$6,476 | +$2,840 | +$15,170 | +$10,980 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -52.9% | -54.9% | -61.6% | -63.4% | -64.8% | -57.7% | -42.2% | -26.5% | -22.2% | -3.0% | +1.3% | +7.1% | +5.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $192K | $193K | $184K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $281K | $317K | $348K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$192K to $281K
41.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$184K to $348K
72.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johns River area | $211K | $225K | +6.5% | |
| Hudson | $210K | $229K | +9.0% | |
| Lovelady (Tract 031403) | $217K | $231K | +6.5% | |
| Little River | $221K | $234K | +6.1% | |
| Lovelady (Tract 031401) | $208K | $216K | +3.8% | |
| Lovelady (Tract 031302) | $217K | $220K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johns River area | $211K | $225K | +6.5% | |
| Lenoir | $157K | $182K | +15.8% | |
| Hudson area | $158K | $181K | +15.0% | |
| Lovelady | $190K | $215K | +13.2% | |
| Hudson | $222K | $251K | +13.1% | |
| Lower Creek | $244K | $273K | +11.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johns River area | $211K | $225K | $164K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030802) | $152K | $165K | $90K | |
| Patterson area | $166K | $180K | $89K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030200) | $128K | $143K | $81K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030300) | $150K | $167K | $75K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030400) | $124K | $126K | $68K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Caldwell, NC · ZIP 28611 · Census Tract 37027030900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$214K
Downside (P10)
$184K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$225K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$348K
+63% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +63%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $101K | $97K | $82K | $78K | $75K | $91K | $124K | $157K | $167K | $208K | $214K | $217K | $229K | $225K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$113,276 | -$117,476 | -$131,876 | -$135,676 | -$138,776 | -$123,576 | -$90,376 | -$56,676 | -$47,476 | -$6,476 | +$2,840 | +$15,170 | +$10,980 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -52.9% | -54.9% | -61.6% | -63.4% | -64.8% | -57.7% | -42.2% | -26.5% | -22.2% | -3.0% | +1.3% | +7.1% | +5.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $192K | $193K | $184K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $281K | $317K | $348K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$192K to $281K
41.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$184K to $348K
72.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johns River area | $211K | $225K | +6.5% | |
| Hudson | $210K | $229K | +9.0% | |
| Lovelady (Tract 031403) | $217K | $231K | +6.5% | |
| Little River | $221K | $234K | +6.1% | |
| Lovelady (Tract 031401) | $208K | $216K | +3.8% | |
| Lovelady (Tract 031302) | $217K | $220K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johns River area | $211K | $225K | +6.5% | |
| Lenoir | $157K | $182K | +15.8% | |
| Hudson area | $158K | $181K | +15.0% | |
| Lovelady | $190K | $215K | +13.2% | |
| Hudson | $222K | $251K | +13.1% | |
| Lower Creek | $244K | $273K | +11.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johns River area | $211K | $225K | $164K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030802) | $152K | $165K | $90K | |
| Patterson area | $166K | $180K | $89K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030200) | $128K | $143K | $81K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030300) | $150K | $167K | $75K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030400) | $124K | $126K | $68K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
