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Burke, NC · ZIP 28655 · Census Tract 37023020202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$272K
Downside (P10)
$235K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$269K
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$349K
+28% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +28%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $151K | $151K | $155K | $152K | $160K | $161K | $169K | $197K | $235K | $267K | $272K | $273K | $271K | $269K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$120,807 | -$121,607 | -$117,607 | -$120,207 | -$112,607 | -$110,807 | -$103,607 | -$75,107 | -$37,207 | -$4,807 | +$757 | -$868 | -$3,193 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.4% | -44.7% | -43.2% | -44.2% | -41.4% | -40.7% | -38.1% | -27.6% | -13.7% | -1.8% | +0.3% | -0.3% | -1.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $246K | $237K | $235K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $321K | $341K | $349K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$246K to $321K
27.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$235K to $349K
42.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quaker Meadows | $272K | $269K | -1.1% | |
| Upper Creek area | $218K | $243K | +11.4% | |
| Morganton (Tract 020500) | $308K | $335K | +8.8% | |
| Morganton (Tract 021400) | $219K | $234K | +6.6% | |
| Lovelady | $222K | $229K | +3.1% | |
| Lower Fork area | $260K | $268K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quaker Meadows | $272K | $269K | -1.1% | |
| Silver Creek | $164K | $184K | +12.6% | |
| Icard | $165K | $183K | +11.5% | |
| Upper Creek area | $218K | $243K | +11.4% | |
| Morganton | $148K | $164K | +10.5% | |
| Lower Creek area | $154K | $169K | +9.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quaker Meadows | $272K | $269K | $114K | |
| Lower Creek area | $154K | $169K | $93K | |
| Morganton (Tract 021301) | $148K | $164K | $87K | |
| Morganton (Tract 020600) | $181K | $187K | $85K | |
| Silver Creek | $154K | $168K | $82K | |
| Lower Fork | $130K | $140K | $72K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Burke, NC · ZIP 28655 · Census Tract 37023020202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$272K
Downside (P10)
$235K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$269K
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$349K
+28% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +28%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $151K | $151K | $155K | $152K | $160K | $161K | $169K | $197K | $235K | $267K | $272K | $273K | $271K | $269K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$120,807 | -$121,607 | -$117,607 | -$120,207 | -$112,607 | -$110,807 | -$103,607 | -$75,107 | -$37,207 | -$4,807 | +$757 | -$868 | -$3,193 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.4% | -44.7% | -43.2% | -44.2% | -41.4% | -40.7% | -38.1% | -27.6% | -13.7% | -1.8% | +0.3% | -0.3% | -1.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $246K | $237K | $235K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $321K | $341K | $349K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$246K to $321K
27.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$235K to $349K
42.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quaker Meadows | $272K | $269K | -1.1% | |
| Upper Creek area | $218K | $243K | +11.4% | |
| Morganton (Tract 020500) | $308K | $335K | +8.8% | |
| Morganton (Tract 021400) | $219K | $234K | +6.6% | |
| Lovelady | $222K | $229K | +3.1% | |
| Lower Fork area | $260K | $268K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quaker Meadows | $272K | $269K | -1.1% | |
| Silver Creek | $164K | $184K | +12.6% | |
| Icard | $165K | $183K | +11.5% | |
| Upper Creek area | $218K | $243K | +11.4% | |
| Morganton | $148K | $164K | +10.5% | |
| Lower Creek area | $154K | $169K | +9.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quaker Meadows | $272K | $269K | $114K | |
| Lower Creek area | $154K | $169K | $93K | |
| Morganton (Tract 021301) | $148K | $164K | $87K | |
| Morganton (Tract 020600) | $181K | $187K | $85K | |
| Silver Creek | $154K | $168K | $82K | |
| Lower Fork | $130K | $140K | $72K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
