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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Buncombe, NC · ZIP 28803 · Census Tract 37021002204 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$801K
Downside (P10)
$679K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$857K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.20M
+50% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $343K | $250K | $311K | $289K | $332K | $488K | $493K | $703K | $768K | $793K | $801K | $812K | $835K | $857K |
| YoY Change | -27.2% | +24.6% | -7.2% | +15.1% | +47.0% | +1.0% | +42.4% | +9.3% | +3.3% | +1.0% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +2.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $648K | $660K | $679K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $999K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$648K to $999K
43.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$679K to $1.20M
61.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limestone area | $786K | $857K | +9.0% | |
| Avery Creek | $691K | $793K | +14.7% | |
| Asheville (Tract 000500) | $825K | $894K | +8.3% | |
| Asheville (Tract 001700) | $694K | $710K | +2.3% | |
| Asheville (Tract 000100) | $860K | $868K | +0.9% | |
| Asheville (Tract 000300) | $671K | $672K | +0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limestone area | $786K | $857K | +9.0% | |
| Lower Hominy area | $482K | $569K | +18.1% | |
| Limestone area | $1.38M | $1.59M | +14.9% | |
| Avery Creek | $691K | $793K | +14.7% | |
| Black Mountain | $364K | $416K | +14.3% | |
| Asheville | $430K | $492K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limestone area | $786K | $857K | $524K | |
| Lower Hominy area | $302K | $317K | $130K | |
| Woodfin | $292K | $323K | $124K | |
| Upper Hominy | $156K | $163K | $113K | |
| Asheville | $163K | $172K | $109K | |
| Asheville area | $95K | $99K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.