What is the home price forecast for Parcel 37019020315 in Oak Island?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $447,100 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 37019020315 in Oak Island?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $447,100 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.9%.

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Parcel 37019020315 (Oak Island) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 37019020315, Oak Island Home Price Forecast

Brunswick, NC · ZIP 28465 · Census Tract 37019020315 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$447K

Downside (P10)

$382K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$465K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$599K

+34% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$290K	$284K	$345K	$359K	$433K	$447K	$449K	$475K	$465K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$157,300	-$162,700	-$102,500	-$87,700	-$14,000		+$2,368	+$27,997	+$17,631
Growth % vs 2026	-35.2%	-36.4%	-22.9%	-19.6%	-3.1%		+0.5%	+6.3%	+3.9%
Downside (P10)							$383K	$390K	$382K
Upside (P90)							$529K	$569K	$599K

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$383K to $529K

32.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$382K to $599K

46.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.9% · Spread: 47%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 37019020315, Oak Island on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).