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Brunswick, NC · ZIP 28451 · Census Tract 37019020201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$341K
Downside (P10)
$284K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$351K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$502K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $172K | $175K | $187K | $186K | $193K | $220K | $226K | $263K | $295K | $334K | $341K | $344K | $345K | $351K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$169,386 | -$166,286 | -$154,786 | -$155,886 | -$148,386 | -$121,086 | -$115,886 | -$78,386 | -$46,386 | -$7,886 | +$2,243 | +$3,386 | +$9,947 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.6% | -48.7% | -45.3% | -45.7% | -43.5% | -35.5% | -33.9% | -23.0% | -13.6% | -2.3% | +0.7% | +1.0% | +2.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $295K | $296K | $284K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $425K | $457K | $502K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$295K to $425K
37.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$284K to $502K
62.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Town Creek | $339K | $351K | +3.6% | |
| Shallotte (Tract 020517) | $334K | $367K | +10.2% | |
| Shallotte (Tract 020514) | $359K | $384K | +6.7% | |
| Shallotte (Tract 020510) | $348K | $369K | +6.0% | |
| Town Creek | $344K | $361K | +4.9% | |
| Lockwoods Folly | $326K | $326K | -0.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Town Creek | $339K | $351K | +3.6% | |
| Brunswick (Tract 000103) | $240K | $335K | +39.7% | |
| Brunswick (Tract 200000) | $262K | $358K | +36.9% | |
| Brunswick (Tract 280004) | $283K | $364K | +28.8% | |
| Oak Island | $552K | $656K | +18.9% | |
| Lockwoods Folly | $188K | $223K | +18.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Town Creek | $339K | $351K | $218K | |
| Lockwoods Folly (Tract 020404) | $196K | $210K | $120K | |
| Lockwoods Folly (Tract 020409) | $214K | $228K | $106K | |
| Shallotte (Tract 020513) | $259K | $282K | $104K | |
| Northwest | $171K | $191K | $101K | |
| Shallotte (Tract 020505) | $171K | $187K | $99K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Brunswick, NC · ZIP 28451 · Census Tract 37019020201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$341K
Downside (P10)
$284K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$351K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$502K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $172K | $175K | $187K | $186K | $193K | $220K | $226K | $263K | $295K | $334K | $341K | $344K | $345K | $351K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$169,386 | -$166,286 | -$154,786 | -$155,886 | -$148,386 | -$121,086 | -$115,886 | -$78,386 | -$46,386 | -$7,886 | +$2,243 | +$3,386 | +$9,947 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.6% | -48.7% | -45.3% | -45.7% | -43.5% | -35.5% | -33.9% | -23.0% | -13.6% | -2.3% | +0.7% | +1.0% | +2.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $295K | $296K | $284K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $425K | $457K | $502K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$295K to $425K
37.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$284K to $502K
62.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Town Creek | $339K | $351K | +3.6% | |
| Shallotte (Tract 020517) | $334K | $367K | +10.2% | |
| Shallotte (Tract 020514) | $359K | $384K | +6.7% | |
| Shallotte (Tract 020510) | $348K | $369K | +6.0% | |
| Town Creek | $344K | $361K | +4.9% | |
| Lockwoods Folly | $326K | $326K | -0.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Town Creek | $339K | $351K | +3.6% | |
| Brunswick (Tract 000103) | $240K | $335K | +39.7% | |
| Brunswick (Tract 200000) | $262K | $358K | +36.9% | |
| Brunswick (Tract 280004) | $283K | $364K | +28.8% | |
| Oak Island | $552K | $656K | +18.9% | |
| Lockwoods Folly | $188K | $223K | +18.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Town Creek | $339K | $351K | $218K | |
| Lockwoods Folly (Tract 020404) | $196K | $210K | $120K | |
| Lockwoods Folly (Tract 020409) | $214K | $228K | $106K | |
| Shallotte (Tract 020513) | $259K | $282K | $104K | |
| Northwest | $171K | $191K | $101K | |
| Shallotte (Tract 020505) | $171K | $187K | $99K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
