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Avery, NC · ZIP 28604 · Census Tract 37011930100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$332K
Downside (P10)
$294K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$365K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$520K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $173K | $174K | $198K | $195K | $186K | $171K | $194K | $213K | $221K | $316K | $332K | $347K | $359K | $365K | $324K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$158,903 | -$157,703 | -$133,103 | -$137,003 | -$145,203 | -$160,303 | -$137,803 | -$118,503 | -$110,503 | -$15,503 | +$15,150 | +$27,988 | +$33,083 | -$7,952 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.9% | -47.6% | -40.2% | -41.3% | -43.8% | -48.4% | -41.6% | -35.7% | -33.3% | -4.7% | +4.6% | +8.4% | +10.0% | -2.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $291K | $291K | $294K | $292K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $412K | $488K | $520K | $367K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$291K to $412K
34.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$292K to $367K
23.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banner Elk area | $324K | $365K | +12.5% | |
| Avery (Tract 240000) | $217K | $277K | +28.0% | |
| Avery (Tract 000004) | $291K | $366K | +25.5% | |
| Newland No. 1 area | $223K | $256K | +15.1% | |
| Ingalls area | $287K | $309K | +7.4% | |
| Carey's Flat area | $312K | $334K | +6.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banner Elk area | $324K | $365K | +12.5% | |
| Avery (Tract 800000) | $474K | $640K | +34.9% | |
| Avery (Tract 040006) | $95K | $125K | +31.9% | |
| Avery (Tract 240000) | $217K | $277K | +28.0% | |
| Avery (Tract 000004) | $291K | $366K | +25.5% | |
| Avery (Tract 980001) | $642K | $802K | +24.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banner Elk area | $324K | $365K | $227K | |
| Carey's Flat area | $312K | $334K | $180K | |
| Ingalls area | $287K | $309K | $146K | |
| Avery | $95K | $125K | $125K | |
| Newland No. 1 area | $223K | $256K | $121K | |
| Minneapolis area | $207K | $218K | $116K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Avery, NC · ZIP 28604 · Census Tract 37011930100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$332K
Downside (P10)
$294K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$365K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$520K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $173K | $174K | $198K | $195K | $186K | $171K | $194K | $213K | $221K | $316K | $332K | $347K | $359K | $365K | $324K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$158,903 | -$157,703 | -$133,103 | -$137,003 | -$145,203 | -$160,303 | -$137,803 | -$118,503 | -$110,503 | -$15,503 | +$15,150 | +$27,988 | +$33,083 | -$7,952 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.9% | -47.6% | -40.2% | -41.3% | -43.8% | -48.4% | -41.6% | -35.7% | -33.3% | -4.7% | +4.6% | +8.4% | +10.0% | -2.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $291K | $291K | $294K | $292K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $412K | $488K | $520K | $367K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$291K to $412K
34.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$292K to $367K
23.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banner Elk area | $324K | $365K | +12.5% | |
| Avery (Tract 240000) | $217K | $277K | +28.0% | |
| Avery (Tract 000004) | $291K | $366K | +25.5% | |
| Newland No. 1 area | $223K | $256K | +15.1% | |
| Ingalls area | $287K | $309K | +7.4% | |
| Carey's Flat area | $312K | $334K | +6.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banner Elk area | $324K | $365K | +12.5% | |
| Avery (Tract 800000) | $474K | $640K | +34.9% | |
| Avery (Tract 040006) | $95K | $125K | +31.9% | |
| Avery (Tract 240000) | $217K | $277K | +28.0% | |
| Avery (Tract 000004) | $291K | $366K | +25.5% | |
| Avery (Tract 980001) | $642K | $802K | +24.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banner Elk area | $324K | $365K | $227K | |
| Carey's Flat area | $312K | $334K | $180K | |
| Ingalls area | $287K | $309K | $146K | |
| Avery | $95K | $125K | $125K | |
| Newland No. 1 area | $223K | $256K | $121K | |
| Minneapolis area | $207K | $218K | $116K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
