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Missoula, MT · ZIP 59801 · Census Tract 30063000801 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$398K
Downside (P10)
$341K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$414K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$543K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $224K | $277K | $328K | $353K | $384K | $398K | $403K | $419K | $414K |
| YoY Change | +23.8% | +18.3% | +7.6% | +8.8% | +3.7% | +1.1% | +4.0% | -1.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $341K | $337K | $341K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $478K | $525K | $543K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$341K to $478K
34.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$341K to $543K
48.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missoula | $389K | $414K | +6.6% | |
| Missoula (Tract 000300) | $398K | $430K | +7.9% | |
| Missoula (Tract 001002) | $401K | $464K | +15.7% | |
| Lolo | $402K | $446K | +10.8% | |
| Missoula (Tract 000206) | $409K | $435K | +6.4% | |
| Missoula (Tract 001200) | $416K | $456K | +9.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missoula | $389K | $414K | +6.6% | |
| Lolo | $655K | $793K | +21.0% | |
| Seeley Lake-Blackfoot Valley | $427K | $512K | +19.8% | |
| Missoula (Tract 000204) | $332K | $397K | +19.6% | |
| Missoula (Tract 000700) | $513K | $595K | +16.0% | |
| Missoula (Tract 000802) | $441K | $512K | +15.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missoula | $389K | $414K | $202K | |
| Missoula (Tract 000203) | $345K | $399K | $193K | |
| Seeley Lake-Blackfoot Valley | $427K | $512K | $202K | |
| Frenchtown-Wye | $444K | $481K | $202K | |
| Missoula (Tract 000204) | $332K | $397K | $203K | |
| Missoula (Tract 001302) | $542K | $562K | $222K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.