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Lake, MT · ZIP 59860 · Census Tract 30047940304 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$491K
Downside (P10)
$405K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$508K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$670K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $307K | $328K | $405K | $421K | $472K | $491K | $496K | $500K | $508K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$183,466 | -$163,166 | -$85,866 | -$69,966 | -$18,966 | +$5,288 | +$9,273 | +$17,397 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.4% | -33.3% | -17.5% | -14.3% | -3.9% | +1.1% | +1.9% | +3.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $448K | $443K | $405K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $546K | $595K | $670K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$448K to $546K
19.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$405K to $670K
52.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flathead Reservation · Polson · (Tract 9403.4) | $484K | $508K | +5.0% | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940307) | $480K | $532K | +10.8% | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940700) | $369K | $397K | +7.5% | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940305) | $428K | $459K | +7.2% | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940306) | $468K | $495K | +5.7% | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940400) | $347K | $355K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flathead Reservation · Polson · (Tract 9403.4) | $484K | $508K | +5.0% | |
| Woods Bay-Rollins | $649K | $730K | +12.5% | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940500) | $315K | $350K | +11.3% | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940307) | $480K | $532K | +10.8% | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940700) | $369K | $397K | +7.5% | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940305) | $428K | $459K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flathead Reservation · Polson · (Tract 9403.4) | $484K | $508K | $265K | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940700) | $369K | $397K | $267K | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940600) | $315K | $323K | $229K | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940400) | $347K | $355K | $210K | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940305) | $428K | $459K | $209K | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940500) | $315K | $350K | $169K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Lake, MT · ZIP 59860 · Census Tract 30047940304 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$491K
Downside (P10)
$405K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$508K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$670K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $307K | $328K | $405K | $421K | $472K | $491K | $496K | $500K | $508K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$183,466 | -$163,166 | -$85,866 | -$69,966 | -$18,966 | +$5,288 | +$9,273 | +$17,397 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.4% | -33.3% | -17.5% | -14.3% | -3.9% | +1.1% | +1.9% | +3.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $448K | $443K | $405K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $546K | $595K | $670K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$448K to $546K
19.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$405K to $670K
52.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flathead Reservation · Polson · (Tract 9403.4) | $484K | $508K | +5.0% | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940307) | $480K | $532K | +10.8% | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940700) | $369K | $397K | +7.5% | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940305) | $428K | $459K | +7.2% | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940306) | $468K | $495K | +5.7% | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940400) | $347K | $355K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flathead Reservation · Polson · (Tract 9403.4) | $484K | $508K | +5.0% | |
| Woods Bay-Rollins | $649K | $730K | +12.5% | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940500) | $315K | $350K | +11.3% | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940307) | $480K | $532K | +10.8% | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940700) | $369K | $397K | +7.5% | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940305) | $428K | $459K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flathead Reservation · Polson · (Tract 9403.4) | $484K | $508K | $265K | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940700) | $369K | $397K | $267K | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940600) | $315K | $323K | $229K | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940400) | $347K | $355K | $210K | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940305) | $428K | $459K | $209K | |
| Flathead Reservation (Tract 940500) | $315K | $350K | $169K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
