Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
Flathead, MT · ZIP 59901 · Census Tract 30029000700 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$399K
Downside (P10)
$317K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$412K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$638K
+60% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +60%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $129K | $139K | $156K | $175K | $195K | $227K | $240K | $259K | $306K | $393K | $399K | $411K | $404K | $412K |
| YoY Change | +7.8% | +12.3% | +12.0% | +11.3% | +16.3% | +5.9% | +8.0% | +18.0% | +28.3% | +1.7% | +2.9% | -1.6% | +1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $318K | $316K | $317K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $503K | $506K | $638K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$318K to $503K
45.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$317K to $638K
77.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evergreen | $400K | $412K | +3.1% | |
| South Fork | $420K | $491K | +17.0% | |
| Kalispell (Tract 000901) | $394K | $445K | +13.0% | |
| Kalispell (Tract 001102) | $365K | $404K | +10.6% | |
| Kalispell (Tract 000903) | $416K | $453K | +8.8% | |
| Columbia Falls area | $400K | $422K | +5.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evergreen | $400K | $412K | +3.1% | |
| Bigfork | $570K | $673K | +18.0% | |
| South Fork | $420K | $491K | +17.0% | |
| Kalispell Southwest | $680K | $789K | +15.9% | |
| Whitefish | $672K | $773K | +15.1% | |
| Kalispell | $441K | $504K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evergreen | $400K | $412K | $321K | |
| Kalispell Southwest area | $503K | $565K | $240K | |
| Kalispell (Tract 000901) | $394K | $445K | $217K | |
| Kalispell (Tract 000903) | $416K | $453K | $211K | |
| Columbia Falls area | $400K | $422K | $190K | |
| Kalispell (Tract 001000) | $287K | $316K | $180K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.