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Cascade, MT · ZIP 59483 · Census Tract 30013010700 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$308K
Downside (P10)
$269K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$323K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$443K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $174K | $182K | $185K | $188K | $193K | $188K | $200K | $237K | $264K | $289K | $308K | $309K | $329K | $323K |
| YoY Change | +4.4% | +1.7% | +1.9% | +2.8% | -2.9% | +6.5% | +18.3% | +11.6% | +9.6% | +6.5% | +0.3% | +6.4% | -1.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $276K | $270K | $269K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $372K | $417K | $443K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$276K to $372K
31.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$269K to $443K
53.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun River Valley | $300K | $323K | +7.8% | |
| Belt area | $303K | $343K | +13.0% | |
| Great Falls (Tract 002201) | $293K | $327K | +11.4% | |
| Great Falls (Tract 001900) | $302K | $336K | +11.3% | |
| Great Falls (Tract 000200) | $265K | $294K | +11.2% | |
| Great Falls (Tract 001000) | $264K | $288K | +8.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun River Valley | $300K | $323K | +7.8% | |
| Great Falls (Tract 001100) | $249K | $294K | +18.0% | |
| Cascade | $401K | $472K | +17.8% | |
| Belt area | $303K | $343K | +13.0% | |
| Great Falls (Tract 002100) | $359K | $401K | +11.8% | |
| Great Falls (Tract 002201) | $293K | $327K | +11.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun River Valley | $300K | $323K | $174K | |
| Great Falls (Tract 000900) | $231K | $241K | $115K | |
| Great Falls (Tract 000100) | $207K | $219K | $107K | |
| Great Falls (Tract 002202) | $236K | $243K | $103K | |
| Great Falls (Tract 001600) | $178K | $183K | $100K | |
| Great Falls (Tract 000700) | $165K | $181K | $97K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.