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Jackson, MS · ZIP 39563 · Census Tract 28059041400 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$191K
Downside (P10)
$164K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$223K
+17% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$309K
+62% by 2030
Base case: +17% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +62%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $137K | $149K | $154K | $150K | $149K | $150K | $161K | $163K | $194K | $185K | $191K | $199K | $214K | $223K |
| YoY Change | +8.8% | +3.1% | -2.9% | -0.6% | +1.1% | +7.0% | +1.2% | +19.4% | -5.1% | +3.5% | +4.3% | +7.7% | +3.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $167K | $171K | $164K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $248K | $280K | $309K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$167K to $248K
41.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$164K to $309K
64.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moss Point | $188K | $223K | +18.7% | |
| 1 (Tract 040103) | $192K | $223K | +16.4% | |
| Latimer | $188K | $203K | +8.1% | |
| 1 (Tract 040104) | $195K | $218K | +11.6% | |
| Gulf Hills | $201K | $216K | +7.5% | |
| 3 | $178K | $189K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moss Point | $188K | $223K | +18.7% | |
| 5 (Tract 040901) | $250K | $296K | +18.2% | |
| 1 | $192K | $223K | +16.4% | |
| 5 (Tract 040702) | $256K | $295K | +15.2% | |
| Gautier | $159K | $182K | +14.6% | |
| Pascagoula | $127K | $145K | +14.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moss Point | $188K | $223K | $144K | |
| Moss Point (Tract 041700) | $93K | $98K | $47K | |
| Moss Point (Tract 041600) | $86K | $89K | $48K | |
| Moss Point (Tract 041800) | $91K | $94K | $56K | |
| 1 area | $92K | $101K | $58K | |
| Pascagoula | $98K | $102K | $58K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.