What is the home price forecast for Parcel 28059040105 in 1 · Moss Point · (Tract 401.5)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $171,026 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 28059040105 in 1 · Moss Point · (Tract 401.5)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $171,026 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.6%.

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Parcel 28059040105 (1) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 28059040105, 1 · Moss Point · (Tract 401.5) Home Price Forecast

Jackson, MS · ZIP 39562 · Census Tract 28059040105 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$171K

Downside (P10)

$144K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$186K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$243K

+42% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$120K	$114K	$149K	$178K	$172K	$171K	$178K	$177K	$186K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$51,226	-$57,226	-$22,326	+$6,574	+$874		+$6,629	+$5,986	+$14,702
Growth % vs 2026	-30.0%	-33.5%	-13.1%	+3.8%	+0.5%		+3.9%	+3.5%	+8.6%
Downside (P10)							$153K	$155K	$144K
Upside (P90)							$209K	$227K	$243K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$153K to $209K

31.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$144K to $243K

53.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.6% · Spread: 54%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 28059040105, 1 · Moss Point · (Tract 401.5) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).