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Harrison, MS · ZIP 39501 · Census Tract 28047001900 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$119K
Downside (P10)
$101K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$131K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$175K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $89K | $87K | $93K | $91K | $88K | $87K | $93K | $101K | $109K | $116K | $119K | $120K | $129K | $131K |
| YoY Change | -2.1% | +6.6% | -1.3% | -3.3% | -1.6% | +7.1% | +8.9% | +7.6% | +5.9% | +3.4% | +0.5% | +7.0% | +2.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $101K | $102K | $101K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $145K | $163K | $175K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$101K to $145K
36.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$101K to $175K
56.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gulfport · 39501 · (Tract 19) | $118K | $131K | +11.2% | |
| D'Iberville (Tract 003306) | $116K | $131K | +12.5% | |
| D'Iberville (Tract 003308) | $114K | $122K | +6.9% | |
| Gulfport (Tract 002001) | $114K | $129K | +13.4% | |
| Gulfport (Tract 003214) | $126K | $139K | +10.0% | |
| Gulfport (Tract 003210) | $128K | $142K | +11.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gulfport · 39501 · (Tract 19) | $118K | $131K | +11.2% | |
| 3 | $189K | $225K | +19.1% | |
| Biloxi | $268K | $317K | +18.3% | |
| 2 (Tract 003513) | $240K | $280K | +16.6% | |
| 2 (Tract 003509) | $221K | $254K | +15.0% | |
| 2 (Tract 003514) | $240K | $275K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gulfport · 39501 · (Tract 19) | $118K | $131K | $74K | |
| Gulfport (Tract 002401) | $91K | $100K | $43K | |
| Biloxi (Tract 003901) | $75K | $80K | $46K | |
| Gulfport (Tract 002402) | $103K | $111K | $49K | |
| D'Iberville | $79K | $88K | $52K | |
| Biloxi (Tract 004000) | $99K | $99K | $53K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.