Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
DeSoto, MS · ZIP 38637 · Census Tract 28033070323 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$164K
Downside (P10)
$133K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$173K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$234K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $98K | $95K | $94K | $99K | $103K | $107K | $113K | $137K | $149K | $158K | $164K | $168K | $173K | $173K |
| YoY Change | -3.1% | -1.2% | +5.1% | +3.8% | +4.3% | +5.2% | +22.0% | +8.7% | +5.6% | +4.1% | +2.2% | +3.2% | +0.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $139K | $131K | $133K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $199K | $218K | $234K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$139K to $199K
35.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$133K to $234K
58.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horn Lake | $164K | $173K | +5.6% | |
| Southaven (Tract 070421) | $165K | $189K | +14.1% | |
| Southaven (Tract 070522) | $182K | $201K | +10.6% | |
| Southaven (Tract 070521) | $180K | $199K | +10.5% | |
| Southaven (Tract 070422) | $161K | $177K | +10.4% | |
| Southaven area | $149K | $162K | +8.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horn Lake | $164K | $173K | +5.6% | |
| Olive Branch | $300K | $354K | +18.2% | |
| 5 area | $323K | $372K | +15.3% | |
| Horn Lake | $145K | $167K | +15.2% | |
| Southaven | $165K | $189K | +14.1% | |
| 5 | $360K | $410K | +14.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horn Lake | $164K | $173K | $101K | |
| Southaven (Tract 070411) | $128K | $141K | $89K | |
| Southaven area | $149K | $162K | $88K | |
| Southaven (Tract 070421) | $165K | $189K | $85K | |
| Southaven (Tract 070422) | $161K | $177K | $77K | |
| Horn Lake | $116K | $128K | $69K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.