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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
St Louis, MO · ZIP 63109 · Census Tract 29510114102 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$378K
Downside (P10)
$327K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$410K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$535K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $237K | $259K | $271K | $276K | $294K | $341K | $336K | $349K | $369K | $379K | $378K | $385K | $390K | $410K |
| YoY Change | +9.1% | +4.5% | +1.9% | +6.6% | +15.9% | -1.5% | +4.1% | +5.6% | +2.6% | -0.1% | +1.7% | +1.5% | +4.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $333K | $334K | $327K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $460K | $485K | $535K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$333K to $460K
32.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$327K to $535K
50.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis · Saint Louis · (Tract 1141.2) | $378K | $410K | +8.5% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 119101) | $364K | $412K | +13.2% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 105198) | $402K | $440K | +9.5% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 116301) | $363K | $392K | +8.0% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 112100) | $358K | $380K | +6.0% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 119102) | $380K | $397K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis · Saint Louis · (Tract 1141.2) | $378K | $410K | +8.5% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 117400) | $351K | $419K | +19.3% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 109700) | $59K | $69K | +17.5% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 118100) | $410K | $481K | +17.4% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 123300) | $340K | $394K | +16.1% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 124200) | $225K | $261K | +16.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis · Saint Louis · (Tract 1141.2) | $378K | $410K | $208K | |
| St. Louis | $59K | $69K | $27K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.