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St Louis, MO · ZIP 63115 · Census Tract 29510110200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$41K
Downside (P10)
$33K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$44K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$59K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $49K | $53K | $45K | $56K | $57K | $52K | $50K | $46K | $45K | $41K | $41K | $42K | $44K | $44K |
| YoY Change | +8.2% | -15.7% | +25.6% | +1.3% | -7.9% | -3.8% | -8.6% | -1.5% | -10.2% | +1.8% | +0.9% | +4.5% | +1.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $34K | $34K | $33K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $52K | $56K | $59K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$34K to $52K
42.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$33K to $59K
59.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis (Tract 109700) | $59K | $69K | +17.5% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 107400) | $53K | $58K | +10.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis (Tract 117400) | $351K | $419K | +19.3% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 109700) | $59K | $69K | +17.5% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 118100) | $410K | $481K | +17.4% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 123300) | $340K | $394K | +16.1% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 124200) | $225K | $261K | +16.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis (Tract 110300) | $68K | $73K | $35K | |
| St. Louis (Tract 109700) | $59K | $69K | $27K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.