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Scott, MO · ZIP 63801 · Census Tract 29201781300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$284K
Downside (P10)
$244K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$299K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$395K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $192K | $154K | $160K | $164K | $175K | $164K | $182K | $222K | $262K | $275K | $284K | $295K | $294K | $299K | $288K |
| YoY Change | -20.0% | +4.2% | +2.8% | +6.8% | -6.5% | +10.9% | +21.9% | +18.2% | +4.9% | +3.5% | +3.8% | -0.3% | +1.6% | -3.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $252K | $249K | $244K | $256K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $344K | $370K | $395K | $324K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$252K to $344K
31.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$256K to $324K
23.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rootwad | $284K | $299K | +5.5% | |
| Rootwad area | $176K | $196K | +11.2% | |
| Kelso (Tract 780100) | $156K | $172K | +10.4% | |
| Kelso (Tract 781100) | $224K | $242K | +8.1% | |
| Sandywoods area | $156K | $155K | -0.5% | |
| Moreland area | $199K | $195K | -2.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rootwad | $284K | $299K | +5.5% | |
| Sylvania | $114K | $130K | +14.9% | |
| Rootwad area | $176K | $196K | +11.2% | |
| Kelso | $156K | $172K | +10.4% | |
| Richland | $108K | $119K | +10.1% | |
| Sikeston | $116K | $126K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rootwad | $284K | $299K | $151K | |
| Sikeston (Tract 780700) | $116K | $126K | $88K | |
| Richland | $108K | $119K | $77K | |
| Sylvania | $114K | $130K | $71K | |
| Kelso | $141K | $150K | $62K | |
| Sikeston (Tract 781201) | $82K | $89K | $36K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.